Swansea City vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/12/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 24
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.66
Ball Possession
72%28%
Goal Attempts
224
Shots on Goal
91
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
62
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
81
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Free Kicks
1714
Offsides
00
Fouls
1417
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1917
Touches in the Opposition Box
3016
Passes
88% (557/633)68% (169/248)
Passes in the final third
86% (171/200)55% (46/83)
Crosses
32% (11/34)20% (2/10)
Tackles
67% (12/18)44% (8/18)
Clearances Total
1629
Interceptions
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Morris C. ,
  • 30', McGuinness M. 🟨,
  • 31', Johnson J. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Franco G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Franco G. , Fulton J. ,
  • 60', Clark J. 🟨,
  • 64', Nakamba M. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 68', Johnson J. 🟨,
  • 71', Adebayo E. , Walters R. ,
  • 77', Eom J. , Peart-Harris M. ,
  • 77', Bianchini F. , Vipotnik Z. ,
  • 86', Krauss T. , Mpanzu P. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Peart-Harris M. ,
  • 90+6', Grimes M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Ronald , Abdulai A. ,

Chances of winning


Swansea City
45.6%
Draw
27.5%
Luton Town
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 28.2% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 28.2% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Swansea City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.39)
    3.48
    (3.35)
    3.52
    (2.92)
    5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Swansea City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Swansea City will win (56 of 62 users predict this - 90.32%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.96%97.68%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Swansea will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Allen J. (Injury) Cooper O. (Foot Injury) Ginnelly J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Parker S. (Muscle Injury) Pedersen K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Walters R. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Fisher A. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Swansea won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Luton Town were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Luton Town - Swansea City 1:1
    04.03.2023 Luton Town - Swansea City 1:0
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One