Result
1:5
21/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 24
- Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (219/298) | 80% (334/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 3.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (219/298) | 80% (334/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/63) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (41/75) | 57% (43/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.52 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.48 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 1 - 0, Baden Frederiksen N. ⚽, Wels M. (A),
- 21', Lichtenberger C. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Italiano J. ⚽,
- 26', Kubatta D. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 2, Harakate R. ⚽, Vraa-Jensen L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 57', 1 - 3, Harakate R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 59', Sulzbacher L. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 4, Italiano J. ⚽,
- 67', Kubatta D. ↓, Jaunegg D. ↑,
- 68', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Huetz C. ↑,
- 73', Hofleitner A. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
- 74', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Koch T. ↑,
- 80', Harakate R. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 5, Italiano J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Schriebl T. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 87', Italiano J. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
- 88', Pines D. 🟨,
- 90', Maderner D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Huetz C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swarovski Tirol
38.2% | Draw
30.5% | Grazer AK
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.32) |
3.09 ↓
(3.27) |
2.99 ↓
(3.02) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swarovski Tirol: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Swarovski Tirol (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 1.
- Swarovski Tirol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Grazer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q.
(Knee Injury)
Gugganig D.
(Inactive)
Taferner M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grazer: Jano Z.
(Injury)
Koch T.
(Inactive)
Oberleitner Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swarovski Tirol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Grazer AK?
Swarovski Tirol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Swarovski Tirol?
Grazer AK has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK were as follows:
08.03.2026
Swarovski Tirol
-
Grazer AK
2:0
16.08.2025
Grazer AK
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:1
23.05.2025
Swarovski Tirol
-
Grazer AK
1:1
29.03.2025
Grazer AK
-
Swarovski Tirol
0:0
09.11.2024
Grazer AK
-
Swarovski Tirol
2:1
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Latest results of Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 39:29 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | LASK | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
