Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 3
- Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (328/418) | 77% (322/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (328/418) | 77% (322/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 39% (26/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (50/111) | 54% (38/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Gugganig D. 🟨,
- 12', Stejskal A. 🟨,
- 21', Jano Z. 🟨,
- 37', Butler Q. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Owusu B. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jano Z. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 59', Maderner D. ↓, Hofleitner A. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Owusu B. ⚽, Satin M. (A),
- 73', Anselm T. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 73', Wels M. 🟨,
- 80', Cipot T. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
- 84', Wels M. ↓, Naschberger J. ↑,
- 90+1', Sabitzer T. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
30.3% | Draw
29.4% | Swarovski Tirol
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grazer AK's form might have worsened.Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swarovski Tirol's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grazer AK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swarovski Tirol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.27) |
3.48 ↓
(3.49) |
2.54 ↓
(2.91) |
-3.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grazer: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grazer (votes: 1 - 50%). Swarovski Tirol (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Grazer has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Swarovski Tirol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Swarovski Tirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Swarovski Tirol has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Grazer: Fofana S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Sulzbacher L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Swarovski Tirol: Hinterseer L.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Swarovski Tirol?
Grazer AK has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Grazer AK?
Swarovski Tirol has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol were as follows:
23.05.2025
Swarovski Tirol
-
Grazer AK
1:1
29.03.2025
Grazer AK
-
Swarovski Tirol
0:0
09.11.2024
Grazer AK
-
Swarovski Tirol
2:1
10.08.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Grazer AK
0:0
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tirol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Altach | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | SK Rapid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | LASK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
