Result
2:1
13/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 17
- Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (421/514) | 75% (261/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (421/514) | 75% (261/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (46/89) | 41% (29/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (86/138) | 52% (44/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Taferner M. ↓, Votter Y. ↑,
- 45+1', Ola-Adebomi A. 🟨,
- 45+6', Votter Y. 🟨,
- 45+6', Kubatta D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Wels M. ⚽, Baden Frederiksen N. (A),
- 58', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Anselm T. ↑,
- 61', Coulibaly H. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Heil J. ⚽, Diarra Y. (A),
- 65', Kainz T. ↓, Prokop D. ↑,
- 66', Hoffmann M. ↓, Fridrikas L. ↑,
- 66', Kovacevic D. ↓, Drew J. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Havel E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Diarra Y. 🟨,
- 77', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 88', Havel E. ↓, Mijic P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hartberg
33.9% | Draw
27.5% | Swarovski Tirol
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartberg's form might have worsened.Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swarovski Tirol's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swarovski Tirol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hartberg - Swarovski Tirol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.1) |
3.42 ↑
(3.25) |
2.45 ↓
(3.2) |
5.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hartberg - Swarovski Tirol?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hartberg will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartberg: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 3.
- Hartberg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Swarovski Tirol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Swarovski Tirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Hartberg has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Hartberg: Drew J.
(Back Injury)
Hulsmann T.
(Yellow Cards)
Hulsmann T.
(Red Card)
Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q.
(Knee Injury)
Sulzbacher L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Swarovski Tirol?
Hartberg has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Hartberg?
Swarovski Tirol has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartberg - Swarovski Tirol were as follows:
02.08.2025
Swarovski Tirol
-
Hartberg
4:2
17.05.2025
Hartberg
-
Swarovski Tirol
3:2
05.04.2025
Swarovski Tirol
-
Hartberg
1:3
09.02.2025
Swarovski Tirol
-
Hartberg
0:0
26.09.2024
Hartberg
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:0
Latest results of Hartberg
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ✔ | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | LASK ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Altach | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Tirol | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Ried | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:35 | -16 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Sturm Graz is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
LASK is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Austria Vienna is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Wolfsberger AC is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
