Swindon Town vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Swindon Town - Barnet
Result
0:2
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.27
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
63% (179/284)62% (165/265)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.75
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
29
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
63% (179/284)62% (165/265)
Long passes
38% (37/98)38% (28/73)
Passes in final third
52% (46/89)58% (70/120)
Crosses
8% (1/12)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.49
Throw-ins
2230
Fouls
1313
Tackles
67% (10/15)56% (5/9)
Duels won
6846
Clearances
3327
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.750.37
Goals prevented
-0.250.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 43', Wright W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Smith H. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 59', Ehibhatiomhan P. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 59', Nichols T. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 66', Snowdon J. , Bodin B. ,
  • 75', Galvin R. , High S. ,
  • 75', Hartigan A. , Osadebe E. ,
  • 82', Hawkins O. , Ndlovu L. ,
  • 86', 0 - 1, Osadebe E. ,
  • 90+1', Shelton M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Stead C. , Adeniran D. ,
  • 90+7', Kensdale O. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 0 - 2, Adeniran D. ,
  • 90+11', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
41.7%
Draw
27.1%
Barnet
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 27% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 26.9% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Swindon Town - Barnet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.22)
    3.47
    (3.49)
    3.04
    (3.08)
    6.1%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Barnet?
  • Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swindon Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Swindon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barnet has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Barnet has had a series of home games.
    • Swindon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Barnet
    16.08.2025 Barnet - Walsall 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bromley - Barnet 2:0
    02.08.2025 Barnet - Fleetwood Town 0:2
    29.07.2025 Barnet - Newport County 2:3
    22.07.2025 Barnet - Wycombe Wanderers 1:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League