Swindon Town vs Cambridge United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.64
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
55% (135/246)77% (271/352)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.890.88
Total shots
910
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
911
Passes
55% (135/246)77% (271/352)
Long passes
32% (29/90)40% (27/67)
Passes in final third
48% (43/90)61% (72/119)
Crosses
33% (4/12)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.28
Throw-ins
2639
Fouls
1110
Tackles
70% (21/30)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6962
Clearances
3133
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.882.89
Goals prevented
-1.12-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Brophy J. ,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Drinan A. ,
  • 34', 2 - 1, Smith H. , Snowdon J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Bennett L. , Kachunga E. ,
  • 51', McLoughlin S. , Mpanzu P. ,
  • 53', 3 - 1, Oldaker D. ,
  • 64', 3 - 2, Kaikai S. ,
  • 69', Oldaker D. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 74', Nichols T. , Mabete F. ,
  • 74', Snowdon J. , Ameen B. ,
  • 81', Watts K. , Loft R. ,
  • 82', Munroe F. 🟨,
  • 89', Munroe F. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 90+6', Brophy J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Butterworth D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
41.2%
Draw
29%
Cambridge United
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 26.1% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
  • Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.
  • Swindon Town - Cambridge United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (1.91)
    3.34
    (3.61)
    3.2
    (3.82)
    3.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Cambridge United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cambridge will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Cambridge (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swindon Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cambridge (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
    • Swindon could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Lavery S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League