Cheltenham Town vs Cambridge United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.411.18
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
04
Big chances
15
Corner kicks
36
Passes
66% (223/336)61% (184/301)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.411.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.06
Total shots
311
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
28
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
15
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1024
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1113
Passes
66% (223/336)61% (184/301)
Long passes
43% (38/89)23% (16/71)
Passes in final third
47% (49/105)48% (57/120)
Crosses
33% (4/12)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.661.24
Throw ins
3532
Fouls
1311
Tackles
55% (6/11)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4863
Clearances
4041
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
1.060.00
Goals prevented
0.060.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Kaikai S. , Jobe M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Ball D. 🟨,
  • 61', Stevenson B. , Young L. ,
  • 68', Davison J. , Faal M. ,
  • 69', Bickerstaff J. , Broom R. ,
  • 73', Appere L. , Lavery S. ,
  • 73', Knight B. , Hoddle G. ,
  • 84', Jude-Boyd A. , Miller G. ,
  • 84', Ashfield H. , Deeming C. ,
  • 86', Mayor A. , Morrison M. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Eastwood J. (Own goal),
  • 90+3', Mpanzu P. , Nevitt E. ,

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
16.8%
Draw
25.8%
Cambridge United
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.1% 26.9% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 26.3% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
  • Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.44
    (3.96)
    3.65
    (3.4)
    1.63
    (1.83)
    7.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cambridge United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Harmon G. (Inactive) King T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Injury) Kouassi K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town 1:0
    10.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United 2:1
    10.02.2024 Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town 0:1
    21.10.2023 Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United 1:0
    14.02.2023 Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One