Swindon Town vs Colchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

County Ground (Swindon).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	0.95
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Goal Attempts
15	6
Shots on Goal
6	4
Shots off Goal
8	1
Blocked Shots
1	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
Free Kicks
10	9
Offsides
0	3
Fouls
9	10
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
27	25
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	13
Passes
63% (163/260)	73% (257/351)
Passes in the final third
43% (44/103)	57% (52/91)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	18% (2/11)
Tackles
73% (8/11)	63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
27	40
Interceptions
13	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Clarke O. ⚽, Wright W. (A),
30', McDonnell J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Payne J. (Pen),
45+1', Sobowale T. 🟨,
45+1', Gordon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Smith H. ↓, Drinan A. ↑,
60', Barden D. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Payne J. (Pen),
68', Clarke O. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
72', Cotterill J. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
73', Tshimanga K. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
73', Sobowale T. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
73', Hopper T. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
78', Iandolo E. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Drinan A. ⚽, Butterworth D. (A),
86', Anderson H. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
90+5', Iandolo E. 🟨,
90+6', Bishop T. ↓, Kelleher F. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 2, Cox G. (Pen),
90+9', Cox G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Swindon Town
33.8%

Draw
29.4%

Colchester United
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Swindon Town - Colchester United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.4)	3.19 ↓ (3.45)	2.56 ↓ (2.72)	6.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Colchester United?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Colchester will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 18.5% – 61.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
Recent matches Swindon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Colchester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Swindon have a series of guest games.
Recently Colchester have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Swindon won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:33 (average 1.1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.4:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Colchester United?

Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Swindon Town?

Colchester United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Colchester United were as follows:

03.12.2024 Colchester United - Swindon Town 4:0

02.11.2024 Swindon Town - Colchester United 2:1

06.01.2024 Swindon Town - Colchester United 2:2

07.11.2023 Colchester United - Swindon Town 3:1

01.01.2023 Colchester United - Swindon Town 1:0

Latest results of Swindon Town

29.12.2024 Bromley - Swindon Town 1:1 ✺

26.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:1 ✺

21.12.2024 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 3:1 ✺

14.12.2024 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

10.12.2024 Wycombe Wanderers - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Colchester United

29.12.2024 Colchester United - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:0 ✺

20.12.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United 0:0 ✺

14.12.2024 Colchester United - Newport County 0:0 ✺

10.12.2024 Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League