Result
3:2
01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (163/260) | 73% (257/351) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 43% (44/103) | 57% (52/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 18% (2/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 63% (12/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Clarke O. ⚽, Wright W. (A),
- 30', McDonnell J. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Payne J. (Pen),
- 45+1', Sobowale T. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', Smith H. ↓, Drinan A. ↑,
- 60', Barden D. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Payne J. (Pen),
- 68', Clarke O. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
- 72', Cotterill J. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 73', Tshimanga K. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 73', Sobowale T. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
- 73', Hopper T. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
- 78', Iandolo E. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 2, Drinan A. ⚽, Butterworth D. (A),
- 86', Anderson H. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 90+5', Iandolo E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Bishop T. ↓, Kelleher F. ↑,
- 90+8', 3 - 2, Cox G. (Pen),
- 90+9', Cox G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
33.8% | Draw
29.4% | Colchester United
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Swindon Town - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.4) |
3.19 ↓
(3.45) |
2.56 ↓
(2.72) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Colchester United?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Colchester will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 18.5% – 61.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
- Recent matches Swindon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Colchester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Swindon have a series of guest games.
- Recently Colchester have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Swindon won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:33 (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Colchester United?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Swindon Town?
Colchester United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Colchester United were as follows:
03.12.2024
Colchester United
-
Swindon Town
4:0
02.11.2024
Swindon Town
-
Colchester United
2:1
06.01.2024
Swindon Town
-
Colchester United
2:2
07.11.2023
Colchester United
-
Swindon Town
3:1
01.01.2023
Colchester United
-
Swindon Town
1:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
