Result
0:0
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 14
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (356/464) | 74% (311/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (356/464) | 74% (311/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (32/81) | 40% (29/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/94) | 53% (71/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Munroe F. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
- 62', Wilson-Brown T. 🟨,
- 66', Bodin B. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
- 66', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 68', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 76', Mbick M. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
- 78', Oldaker D. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 78', Mabete F. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
- 90+8', Read A. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
43.6% | Draw
25.8% | Colchester United
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Swindon Town - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.98) |
3.65 ↑
(3.6) |
3.09 ↓
(3.47) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Colchester United?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Colchester United will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
- In recent matches, Swindon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Colchester is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Swindon might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Murphy A.
(Inactive)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Tafazolli R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Flanagan T.
(Calf Injury)
Gape D.
(Inactive)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Goodwin W.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Colchester United?
Swindon Town has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Swindon Town?
Colchester United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Colchester United were as follows:
01.01.2025
Swindon Town
-
Colchester United
3:2
03.12.2024
Colchester United
-
Swindon Town
4:0
02.11.2024
Swindon Town
-
Colchester United
2:1
06.01.2024
Swindon Town
-
Colchester United
2:2
07.11.2023
Colchester United
-
Swindon Town
3:1
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
