Colchester United vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe) (Colchester).

League Two - Round 43
Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.39	0.15
Ball possession
65%	35%
Total shots
25	4
Shots on target
10	1
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
10	1
Passes
79% (459/580)	62% (194/313)
Yellow cards
1	0
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.39	0.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.83	0.02
Total shots
25	4
Shots on target
10	1
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
8	1
Shots inside the box
20	1
Shots outside the box
5	3
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
57	6
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
6	10
Passes
79% (459/580)	62% (194/313)
Long passes
40% (29/73)	26% (21/82)
Passes in final third
67% (145/215)	34% (22/65)
Crosses
52% (11/21)	0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.78	0.10
Throw ins
23	18
Fouls
10	6
Tackles
54% (7/13)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
56	41
Clearances
11	28
Interceptions
7	16
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	7
xGOT faced
0.02	2.83
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ball J. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Read A. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Goodwin W. ⚽,
59', Nichols T. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
59', Hoilett J. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
59', Borland A. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
62', Read A. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
64', Iandolo E. 🟨,
69', 3 - 0, Anderson H. ⚽, Iandolo E. (A),
74', Wright W. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
74', Drinan A. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
79', Goodwin W. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
79', Edwards O. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
90+2', Iandolo E. ↓, Back F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Colchester United
41%

Draw
26.8%

Swindon Town
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Colchester United - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	2.91 ↓ (2.99)	7% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Colchester United - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1.
Colchester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Colchester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Colchester could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Colchester: Araujo H. (Broken cheekbone) Flanagan T. (Inactive) Mbick M. (Knee Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Hamstring Injury) Glatzel P. (Hamstring Injury) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Snowdon J. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Swindon Town?

Colchester United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Colchester United?

Swindon Town has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Swindon Town were as follows:

25.10.2025 Swindon Town - Colchester United 0:0

01.01.2025 Swindon Town - Colchester United 3:2

03.12.2024 Colchester United - Swindon Town 4:0

02.11.2024 Swindon Town - Colchester United 2:1

06.01.2024 Swindon Town - Colchester United 2:2

Latest results of Colchester United

06.04.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

03.04.2026 Colchester United - Oldham Athletic 1:3 ✺

28.03.2026 Colchester United - Walsall 1:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Bromley - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

18.03.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

06.04.2026 Swindon Town - Walsall 2:1 ✺

02.04.2026 Cambridge United - Swindon Town 1:1 ✺

28.03.2026 Swindon Town - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺

17.03.2026 Gillingham - Swindon Town 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League