Result
2:1
03/09/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: EFL Trophy
- Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 97 | 115 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 43 | 27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kilkenny G. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
- 46', Watts C. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 56', Doyle K. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 60', Tshimanga K. ↓, Smith H. ↑,
- 60', Freckleton M. ↓, Delaney R. ↑,
- 60', Butterworth D. ↓, King J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Francis E. ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 1, Cotterill J. ⚽,
- 71', Minturn H. 🟨,
- 74', Alli M. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
- 74', Drinan A. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 78', Smith H. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Aitchison J. ⚽, Sweeney P. (A),
- 87', James E. ↓, Cayless L. ↑,
- 90+2', Delaney R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
61.9% | Draw
21.6% | Swindon Town
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter City's performance.Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Exeter City - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.74) |
4.29 ↑
(3.6) |
5.56 ↑
(4.26) |
8.5%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 4.
- Recent matches Exeter is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Swindon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Exeter is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Exeter won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-13.
- Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Swindon Town?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Exeter City?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Swindon Town were as follows:
21.11.2023
Swindon Town
-
Exeter City
0:1
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Swindon Town
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Charlton | Leyton Orient | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Burton | Stevenage | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Wycombe | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Exeter | Birmingham | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | Wigan | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Rotherham | Tranmere | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Blackpool | Aston Villa U21 | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Stockport County | Bradford City | 2 : 3 |
| 9 | Peterborough | Northampton | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Walsall | Reading | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Cheltenham | Cambridge Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Colchester | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Doncaster | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Wrexham | Crewe | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Morecambe | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bolton | Huddersfield | 3 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Leyton Orient | Stevenage | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Swindon | Birmingham | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | Bradford City | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Peterborough | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Cheltenham | Colchester | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Port Vale | Wrexham | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Lincoln | Bolton | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Stevenage | Birmingham | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Rotherham | Bradford City | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Peterborough | Cheltenham | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Wrexham | Bolton | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Bradford City | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Peterborough | Wrexham | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Birmingham | Peterborough | 0 : 2 |
