Result
1:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 16
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (165/282) | 75% (300/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (165/282) | 75% (300/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (40/90) | 46% (35/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (63/130) | 69% (89/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (13/32) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Tafazolli R. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Graydon R. ⚽, Virtue-Thick M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Tafazolli R. 🟨,
- 66', Evans C. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
- 67', Oldaker D. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 67', McGregor J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 78', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,
- 82', Ennis E. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
- 83', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 86', Wright W. ↓, Gray H. ↑,
- 87', Nichols T. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
34% | Draw
26.7% | Swindon Town
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.58) |
3.53 ↑
(3.48) |
2.39 ↓
(2.49) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 3 - 50%). Swindon (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Swindon (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Swindon (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Potter F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Munroe F.
(Yellow Cards)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Nichols T.
(Injury)
Oldaker D.
(Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Swindon Town?
Fleetwood Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Fleetwood Town?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
05.04.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Swindon Town
0:4
07.12.2024
Swindon Town
-
Fleetwood Town
3:1
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
