Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood).

League Two - Round 16
Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.88
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	6
Passes
59% (165/282)	75% (300/398)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	0.95
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
7	5
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
1	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
27	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
18	11
Passes
59% (165/282)	75% (300/398)
Long passes
44% (40/90)	46% (35/76)
Passes in final third
48% (63/130)	69% (89/129)
Crosses
41% (13/32)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.65
Throw-ins
21	31
Fouls
11	18
Tackles
63% (12/19)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
72	62
Clearances
41	37
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.95	0.72
Goals prevented
-0.05	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Tafazolli R. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Graydon R. ⚽, Virtue-Thick M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Tafazolli R. 🟨,
66', Evans C. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
67', Oldaker D. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
67', McGregor J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
78', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,
82', Ennis E. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
83', Nichols T. 🟨,
86', Wright W. ↓, Gray H. ↑,
87', Nichols T. ↓, Ball J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fleetwood Town
34%

Draw
26.7%

Swindon Town
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.1%

37.8%

Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.58)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	2.39 ↓ (2.49)	6.5% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 23.4% – 70.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Swindon (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 25%). Swindon (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Fleetwood: Potter F. (Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Munroe F. (Yellow Cards) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Johnson W. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Nichols T. (Injury) Oldaker D. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Swindon Town?

Fleetwood Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Fleetwood Town?

Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town were as follows:

05.04.2025 Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town 0:4

07.12.2024 Swindon Town - Fleetwood Town 3:1

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

11.11.2025 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 3:4 ✺

08.11.2025 Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Fleetwood Town - Barnet 2:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

11.11.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

08.11.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Rotherham United - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Swindon Town - West Ham United U21 2:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Swindon Town - Colchester United 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	26	15	7	4	44:27	17	52
2	Swindon	25	14	4	7	41:29	12	46
3	Walsall	25	14	4	7	35:24	11	46
4	Salford	25	14	4	7	38:33	5	46
5	MK Dons	26	12	8	6	48:28	20	44
6	Cambridge Utd	25	12	8	5	30:20	10	44
7	Notts Co	25	12	6	7	38:27	11	42
8	Chesterfield	26	10	11	5	42:35	7	41
9	Colchester	25	10	9	6	39:28	11	39
10	Crewe	26	11	6	9	42:34	8	39
11	Grimsby	25	10	7	8	36:30	6	37
12	Oldham	25	8	11	6	26:20	6	35
13	Barnet	25	9	8	8	32:27	5	35
14	Gillingham	25	8	11	6	34:30	4	35
15	Fleetwood	25	9	7	9	33:32	1	34
16	Accrington	25	9	6	10	27:28	-1	33
17	Tranmere	26	8	8	10	40:42	-2	32
18	Cheltenham	26	9	3	14	26:43	-17	30
19	Barrow	25	6	6	13	27:38	-11	24
20	Shrewsbury	25	5	7	13	22:41	-19	22
21	Bristol Rovers	25	6	3	16	21:45	-24	21
22	Crawley	26	4	7	15	29:47	-18	19
23	Harrogate	26	4	6	16	19:41	-22	18
24	Newport	25	4	5	16	26:46	-20	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League