Result
2:1
01/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 39
- Referee: Boyeson C. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Hartlepool United
35.7% | Draw
28.1% | Swindon Town
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartlepool United's performance.Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hartlepool United - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(3.15) |
3.36 ↑
(3.26) |
2.59 ↑
(2.28) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
- Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (63.66%), project points - 40, currently - 32, a good chance of relegated (80%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Swindon has the most likely position - 10 (18.45%), project points - 65, currently - 51, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has very small quality 9, small importance 28, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Hartlepool is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Swindon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Swindon Town?
Hartlepool United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Hartlepool United?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Swindon Town were as follows:
22.10.2022
Swindon Town
-
Hartlepool United
2:1
Latest results of Hartlepool United
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Swindon | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Salford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Walsall | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Bromley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Crewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Barnet | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 17 | Harrogate | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Crawley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Barrow | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 22 | Newport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
