Hartlepool United vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Hartlepool United - Swindon Town
Result
2:1
01/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 39
  • Referee: Boyeson C. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartlepool United
35.7%
Draw
28.1%
Swindon Town
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 28.9% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 28.8% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartlepool United's performance.
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hartlepool United - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (3.15)
    3.36
    (3.26)
    2.59
    (2.28)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
    • Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (63.66%), project points - 40, currently - 32, a good chance of relegated (80%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Swindon has the most likely position - 10 (18.45%), project points - 65, currently - 51, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 9, small importance 28, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Hartlepool is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Swindon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Swindon Town were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Swindon Town - Hartlepool United 2:1
    Latest results of Hartlepool United
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League