Result
1:1
04/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 35
- Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient 49.9% | Draw 28% | Swindon Town 22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Leyton Orient - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (1.98) |
3.36 ↑ (3.33) |
4.2 ↑ (4.14) |
6.7% (4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
- Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (73.08%), has project points - 90, has currently - 71, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very good chance of promoted (97%), has a good chance of win league (73%).
- Swindon has the most likely position - 9 (11.39%), has project points - 69, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 14, importance 56, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2.
- Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Swindon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Swindon Town?
Leyton Orient has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Leyton Orient?
Swindon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Swindon Town were as follows:
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League