Result
1:1
04/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 35
- Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient 49.9% | Draw 28% | Swindon Town 22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Leyton Orient - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (1.98) |
3.36 ↑ (3.33) |
4.2 ↑ (4.14) |
6.7% (4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
- Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (73.08%), has project points - 90, has currently - 71, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very good chance of promoted (97%), has a good chance of win league (73%).
- Swindon has the most likely position - 9 (11.39%), has project points - 69, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 14, importance 56, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2.
- Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Swindon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Swindon Town?
Leyton Orient has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Leyton Orient?
Swindon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Swindon Town were as follows:
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League