Rochdale vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Rochdale - Swindon Town
Result
4:4
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Madden B. (Sco)

Chances of winning


Rochdale
31.8%
Draw
28.9%
Swindon Town
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 29.6% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 28.2% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The chances for Swindon Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Rochdale - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (2.95)
    3.24
    (3.1)
    2.38
    (2.33)
    6.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Rochdale - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
    • Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (63.02%), project points - 35, currently - 25, a good chance of relegated (88%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Swindon has the most likely position - 9 (15.48%), project points - 67, currently - 50, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), a small chance of promoted (6%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 9, small importance 27, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 1.
    • Rochdale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Swindon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Swindon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-23.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.
    Latest results of Rochdale
    11.03.2023 Grimsby Town - Rochdale 1:0
    25.02.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale 1:1
    18.02.2023 Rochdale - Gillingham 0:2
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League