Result
4:4
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 37
- Referee: Madden B. (Sco)
Chances of winning
Rochdale
31.8% | Draw
28.9% | Swindon Town
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Rochdale - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.95) |
3.24 ↑
(3.1) |
2.38 ↑
(2.33) |
6.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rochdale - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
- Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (63.02%), project points - 35, currently - 25, a good chance of relegated (88%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Swindon has the most likely position - 9 (15.48%), project points - 67, currently - 50, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), a small chance of promoted (6%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has very small quality 9, small importance 27, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 1.
- Rochdale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Swindon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Swindon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-23.
- Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Rochdale won against Swindon Town?
Rochdale has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Rochdale?
Swindon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rochdale - Swindon Town were as follows:
Latest results of Rochdale
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 35 |
| 2 | Swindon | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:24 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Bromley | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Salford | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Colchester | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28:21 | 7 | 27 |
| 11 | Crewe | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 27 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32:25 | 7 | 26 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 26 |
| 14 | Barnet | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 25 |
| 15 | Tranmere | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 30:27 | 3 | 23 |
| 16 | Oldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 23 |
| 17 | Accrington | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 18 | Barrow | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Crawley | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 17 |
| 20 | Shrewsbury | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:31 | -13 | 17 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 17 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14:32 | -18 | 17 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | -11 | 16 |
| 24 | Newport | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
