Rochdale vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:4
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Madden B. (Sco)

Chances of winning


Rochdale
31.8%
Draw
28.9%
Swindon Town
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 29.6% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 28.2% 41.3%

Rochdale - Swindon Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.97
(2.95)
3.24
(3.1)
2.38
(2.33)
6.7%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rochdale - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
    • Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (63.02%), project points - 35, currently - 25, a good chance of relegated (88%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Swindon has the most likely position - 9 (15.48%), project points - 67, currently - 50, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), a small chance of promoted (6%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 9, small importance 27, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 1.
    • Rochdale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Swindon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Swindon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-23.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.
    Latest results of Rochdale
    11.03.2023 Grimsby Town - Rochdale 1:0
    25.02.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale 1:1
    18.02.2023 Rochdale - Gillingham 0:2
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall21124530:191140
    2Swindon21124535:251040
    3Bromley21116434:231139
    4Notts Co21115535:221338
    5MK Dons21106542:241836
    6Salford21113732:30236
    7Chesterfield2198437:31635
    8Cambridge Utd2197524:18634
    9Fleetwood2196632:28433
    10Crewe2195734:28632
    11Colchester2187635:26931
    12Gillingham2179529:24530
    13Barnet2177728:25328
    14Oldham2169621:17427
    15Grimsby2176833:30327
    16Tranmere2168735:34126
    17Accrington2166923:25-224
    18Cheltenham21731118:34-1624
    19Barrow21561021:30-921
    20Shrewsbury21471020:34-1419
    21Crawley21461125:36-1118
    22Bristol Rovers21531316:39-2318
    23Harrogate21451218:35-1717
    24Newport21341421:41-2013

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League