Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 5
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 1.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
76% (331/436) | 63% (200/317) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 1.87 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.30 | 1.32 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
76% (331/436) | 63% (200/317) |
Long passes |
---|
23% (15/65) | 40% (38/96) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (73/128) | 52% (65/126) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (3/15) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.61 | 0.97 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 34 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 58% (11/19) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 66 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.32 | 1.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.32 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Drinan A. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
- 28', Lloyd G. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
- 35', Benning M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Sang T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Hoole L. ↓, Boyle W. ↑,
- 59', Nsiala A. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
- 59', Benning M. ↓, England I. ↑,
- 69', Drinan A. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 69', Oldaker D. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 82', Glatzel P. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 82', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 82', Mabete F. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
- 86', Perry T. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Stewart C. ⚽, Boyle W. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Bodin B. ⚽, Kilkenny G. (A),
- 90+6', Ripley C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town 54.7% | Draw 26.3% | Shrewsbury Town 19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.83) |
3.7 ↑ (3.5) |
5.13 ↑ (4.33) |
4% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1.
- In recent matches, Swindon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shrewsbury has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Swindon is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Clarke O.
(Ankle Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Mata M. A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Swindon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Swindon Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
5 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
6 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
7 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
10 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League