Swindon Town vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town
Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.87
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
76% (331/436)63% (200/317)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.32
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
811
Passes
76% (331/436)63% (200/317)
Long passes
23% (15/65)40% (38/96)
Passes in final third
57% (73/128)52% (65/126)
Crosses
20% (3/15)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.97
Throw-ins
3234
Fouls
119
Tackles
50% (7/14)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5366
Clearances
3932
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.321.30
Goals prevented
0.32-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Drinan A. , Glatzel P. (A),
  • 28', Lloyd G. , Stewart C. ,
  • 35', Benning M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Sang T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Hoole L. , Boyle W. ,
  • 59', Nsiala A. , Biggins H. ,
  • 59', Benning M. , England I. ,
  • 69', Drinan A. , Bodin B. ,
  • 69', Oldaker D. , Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 82', Glatzel P. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 82', Snowdon J. , McGregor J. ,
  • 82', Mabete F. , Kirkman B. ,
  • 86', Perry T. , Scully A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Stewart C. , Boyle W. (A),
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Bodin B. , Kilkenny G. (A),
  • 90+6', Ripley C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
54.7%
Draw
26.3%
Shrewsbury Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 26.9% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26.5% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.83)
    3.7
    (3.5)
    5.13
    (4.33)
    4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1.
    • In recent matches, Swindon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shrewsbury has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Swindon is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Clarke O. (Ankle Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Mata M. A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League