Swindon Town vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town
Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.87
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
76% (331/436)63% (200/317)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.32
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
811
Passes
76% (331/436)63% (200/317)
Long passes
23% (15/65)40% (38/96)
Passes in final third
57% (73/128)52% (65/126)
Crosses
20% (3/15)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.97
Throw-ins
3234
Fouls
119
Tackles
50% (7/14)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5366
Clearances
3932
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.321.30
Goals prevented
0.32-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Drinan A. , Glatzel P. (A),
  • 28', Lloyd G. , Stewart C. ,
  • 35', Benning M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Sang T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Hoole L. , Boyle W. ,
  • 59', Nsiala A. , Biggins H. ,
  • 59', Benning M. , England I. ,
  • 69', Drinan A. , Bodin B. ,
  • 69', Oldaker D. , Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 82', Glatzel P. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 82', Snowdon J. , McGregor J. ,
  • 82', Mabete F. , Kirkman B. ,
  • 86', Perry T. , Scully A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Stewart C. , Boyle W. (A),
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Bodin B. , Kilkenny G. (A),
  • 90+6', Ripley C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
54.7%
Draw
26.3%
Shrewsbury Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 26.9% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26.5% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.83)
    3.7
    (3.5)
    5.13
    (4.33)
    4%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1.
    • In recent matches, Swindon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shrewsbury has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Swindon is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Clarke O. (Ankle Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Mata M. A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1482419:13626
    2Swindon1482424:19526
    3Salford1481520:18225
    4MK Dons1473427:151224
    5Notts Co1473425:151024
    6Grimsby1473427:18924
    7Chesterfield1465324:21323
    8Gillingham1464419:14522
    9Crewe1471620:18222
    10Fleetwood1464421:20122
    11Bromley1456321:18321
    12Barnet1463518:15321
    13Cambridge Utd1463516:15121
    14Colchester1446421:18318
    15Barrow1453613:15-218
    16Bristol Rovers1452714:25-1117
    17Oldham1437412:12016
    18Tranmere1336421:19215
    19Harrogate1442815:23-814
    20Cheltenham1442810:25-1514
    21Shrewsbury1434712:22-1013
    22Accrington1333712:16-412
    23Crawley1433814:22-812
    24Newport1432914:23-911

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League