Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Wager H. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (151/277) | 73% (322/440) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (151/277) | 73% (322/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (27/92) | 37% (29/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (62/134) | 56% (84/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 7% (2/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 60 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
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| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -1.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Morgan I. ⚽, Hoole L. (A),
- 22', Hoole L. 🟨,
- 31', Clarke O. 🟨,
- 32', Berkoe K. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Kirkman B. ⚽,
- 45+5', Morgan I. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ball J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ball J. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Lloyd G. ⚽, Berkoe K. (A),
- 60', Batty J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
- 63', Morgan I. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
- 72', McGregor J. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
- 72', Oldaker D. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
- 72', Nichols T. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
- 79', Sang T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
- 79', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Freeman N. ⚽,
- 83', Berkoe K. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
- 88', Borland A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shrewsbury Town
31.8% | Draw
28.1% | Swindon Town
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.25) |
3.34 ↓
(3.37) |
2.34 ↑
(2.08) |
6.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swindon Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1.
- Shrewsbury is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Shrewsbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Bodin B.
(Inactive)
Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Injury)
Ojinnaka T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J.
(Inactive)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Swindon Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
23.08.2025
Swindon Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
2:1
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
