Result
2:1
08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 15
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (280/396) | 64% (210/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (280/396) | 64% (210/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (44/92) | 32% (25/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (49/104) | 48% (48/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Mabete F. 🟨,
- 45+4', Palmer O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Norman C. 🟨,
- 57', Jennings C. 🟨,
- 61', Jennings C. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
- 61', Kenneh N. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 61', Ironside J. ↓, Harris T. ↑,
- 64', Murphy A. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 64', Mabete F. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 64', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Tafazolli R. ↑,
- 67', Finley S. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽,
- 76', Nichols T. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
- 81', Palmer O. ↓, Delaney R. ↑,
- 87', Finley S. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Dennis K. ⚽,
- 89', Munroe F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Patrick O. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Munroe F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
48.6% | Draw
26.2% | Tranmere Rovers
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.89) |
3.6 ↑
(3.57) |
3.74 ↓
(3.8) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Tafazolli R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E.
(Injury)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Swindon Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
28.01.2025
Swindon Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:1
01.10.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Swindon Town
1:1
27.02.2024
Swindon Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:1
23.12.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Swindon Town
2:1
10.04.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Swindon Town
1:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 44:27 | 17 | 51 |
| 2 | Swindon | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Walsall | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 32:23 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Salford | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 28:19 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 42:35 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Colchester | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 36 |
| 10 | Crewe | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 36 |
| 11 | Barnet | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 34 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 34 |
| 14 | Accrington | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 33 |
| 15 | Oldham | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 32 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 32 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 19 | Barrow | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 21 |
| 21 | Crawley | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 19 |
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21:41 | -20 | 19 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19:40 | -21 | 18 |
| 24 | Newport | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
