Result
3:1
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 34 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (369/463) | 60% (127/210) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 68% (107/157) | 43% (33/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/34) | 33% (2/6) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 58% (11/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 56 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Davison J. ⚽, Norman C. (A),
- 19', Norman C. 🟨,
- 22', Smith H. 🟨,
- 22', Drysdale D. 🟨,
- 36', Clarke O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Cox G. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 53', Davison J. 🟨,
- 57', Westley J. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
- 61', Davison J. ↓, Saunders H. ↑,
- 62', Norman C. 🟨,
- 72', Drinan A. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 76', Wood C. ↓, Bradshaw Z. ↑,
- 78', Kilkenny G. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Glatzel P. ⚽, Tshimanga K. (A),
- 90', 2 - 1, Smith H. ⚽,
- 90+2', Solomon S. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 90+2', O'Connor L. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
- 90+4', Drysdale D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
51.2% | Draw
26.8% | Tranmere Rovers
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.94) |
3.51 ↑
(3.48) |
4.27 ↑
(3.75) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 38.6% – 83.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 18 and 22).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
- Recent matches Swindon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tranmere is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Swindon is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Swindon won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:14 (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Swindon Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
01.10.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Swindon Town
1:1
27.02.2024
Swindon Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:1
23.12.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Swindon Town
2:1
10.04.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Swindon Town
1:0
12.11.2022
Swindon Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:1
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
