Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prenton Park (Birkenhead).

League Two - Round 39
Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.14	1.45
Ball possession
33%	67%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
7	6
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
5	9
Passes
58% (148/256)	78% (415/529)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.14	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	1.37
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
6	8
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
5	9
Touches in opposition box
23	29
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
58% (148/256)	78% (415/529)
Long passes
30% (23/76)	37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
51% (65/128)	68% (112/164)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	12% (4/33)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	1.26
Throw ins
29	20
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
60% (9/15)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
68	52
Clearances
46	36
Interceptions
7	0
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	6
xGOT faced
1.37	1.46
Goals prevented
0.37	1.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', McGowan A. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
63', Whitaker C. ↓, Bristow E. ↑,
67', Kilkenny G. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
67', Bodin B. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
69', Solomon S. 🟨,
75', Batty J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
84', Blacker B. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
85', Solomon S. ↓, Woolery K. ↑,
89', Tafazolli R. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
90', Ironside J. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Hoilett J. ⚽, Olakigbe M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tranmere Rovers
26.2%

Draw
27.4%

Swindon Town
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.5%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

24.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.43)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)	6.8% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.
Tranmere is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Swindon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) Murphy J. (Inactive) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Tamen W. (Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Clarke O. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Olakigbe M. (Inactive) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Snowdon J. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Dennis K. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J. (Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Swindon Town?

Tranmere Rovers has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Tranmere Rovers?

Swindon Town has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town were as follows:

08.11.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 2:1

28.01.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:1

01.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 1:1

27.02.2024 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:1

23.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 2:1

Latest results of Tranmere Rovers

17.03.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town 0:3 ✺

14.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Tranmere Rovers 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic 1:3 ✺

03.03.2026 Newport County - Tranmere Rovers 3:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

17.03.2026 Gillingham - Swindon Town 0:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 2:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League