Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

County Ground (Swindon).

League Two - Round 15
Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.81
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
18	8
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
71% (280/396)	64% (210/328)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.88	0.90
Total shots
18	8
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
9	1
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
26	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
18	5
Passes
71% (280/396)	64% (210/328)
Long passes
48% (44/92)	32% (25/79)
Passes in final third
47% (49/104)	48% (48/101)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	0.22
Throw-ins
32	25
Fouls
5	18
Tackles
94% (16/17)	64% (14/22)
Duels won
62	60
Clearances
15	51
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.90	1.88
Goals prevented
-0.10	-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Mabete F. 🟨,
45+4', Palmer O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Norman C. 🟨,
57', Jennings C. 🟨,
61', Jennings C. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
61', Kenneh N. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
61', Ironside J. ↓, Harris T. ↑,
64', Murphy A. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
64', Mabete F. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
64', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Tafazolli R. ↑,
67', Finley S. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽,
76', Nichols T. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
81', Palmer O. ↓, Delaney R. ↑,
87', Finley S. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Dennis K. ⚽,
89', Munroe F. 🟨,
90+2', Patrick O. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Munroe F. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Swindon Town
48.6%

Draw
26.2%

Tranmere Rovers
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	6.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Tafazolli R. (Injury)
There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L. (Hip Injury) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E. (Injury) Turnbull J. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Tranmere Rovers?

Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Swindon Town?

Tranmere Rovers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:

28.01.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:1

01.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 1:1

27.02.2024 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:1

23.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 2:1

10.04.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 1:0

Latest results of Swindon Town

01.11.2025 Rotherham United - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Swindon Town - West Ham United U21 2:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Swindon Town - Colchester United 0:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Swindon Town - Notts County 2:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Tranmere Rovers

01.11.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County 1:3 ✺

28.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers 1:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers 1:4 ✺

11.10.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Barnet 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	33	18	11	4	56:34	22	65
2	Cambridge Utd	33	18	9	6	48:26	22	63
3	MK Dons	33	17	10	6	62:33	29	61
4	Notts Co	33	18	7	8	52:32	20	61
5	Swindon	34	19	4	11	56:40	16	61
6	Crewe	34	15	8	11	50:40	10	53
7	Chesterfield	33	13	14	6	52:43	9	53
8	Salford	32	16	4	12	45:43	2	52
9	Barnet	34	13	11	10	43:37	6	50
10	Walsall	32	14	8	10	40:35	5	50
11	Colchester	32	13	10	9	48:34	14	49
12	Grimsby	32	13	10	9	45:37	8	49
13	Accrington	33	13	7	13	36:34	2	46
14	Fleetwood	32	12	8	12	43:42	1	44
15	Oldham	31	10	12	9	34:30	4	42
16	Gillingham	32	10	11	11	40:41	-1	41
17	Shrewsbury	34	10	8	16	33:52	-19	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	33	9	8	16	45:57	-12	35
20	Bristol Rovers	33	9	3	21	32:56	-24	30
21	Crawley	34	6	10	18	33:54	-21	28
22	Barrow	32	7	6	19	33:50	-17	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	33	6	6	21	32:60	-28	24

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League