Swindon Town vs West Ham United U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
28/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.602.01
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
249
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
81% (399/495)70% (225/322)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.602.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.552.04
Total shots
249
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
101
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3820
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
913
Passes
81% (399/495)70% (225/322)
Long passes
35% (24/69)29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
69% (128/185)59% (48/81)
Crosses
29% (10/35)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.75
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
139
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (13/26)
Duels won
4070
Clearances
1853
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
2.042.55
Goals prevented
-0.960.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Ajala J. , Earthy G. (A),
  • 40', Mabete F. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Earthy G. , Landers J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Mabete F. , Wright W. ,
  • 46', Knight-Lebel J. , Nichols T. ,
  • 46', Earthy G. , Caliste G. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Glatzel P. , Bodin B. (A),
  • 64', Gray H. , Kirkman B. ,
  • 64', Murphy A. , Ball J. ,
  • 69', 1 - 3, Landers J. , Kante M. (A),
  • 71', 2 - 3, Glatzel P. ,
  • 74', Ajala J. , Medine J. ,
  • 74', Landers J. , Cummings D. ,
  • 76', Golambeckis A. 🟨,
  • 76', Bodin B. , Snowdon J. ,
  • 88', McGregor J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Oyebade R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
46.6%
Draw
23.5%
West Ham United U21
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 24.4% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 24.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Town's performance.
  • West Ham United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and West Ham United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United U21 than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Ham United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Swindon Town - West Ham United U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.38)
    3.96
    (3.75)
    3.17
    (2.45)
    7.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - West Ham United U21?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). West Ham U21 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. West Ham U21 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Swindon (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). West Ham U21 (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Swindon might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of West Ham United U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2