Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 11
- Referee: Ghirardello G. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (328/424) | 75% (299/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (328/424) | 75% (299/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (97/141) | 66% (73/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lowry H. ↓, Galic B. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Uchendu C. ⚽, McNamara H. (A),
- 54', Cassar A. ↓, Tanner R. ↑,
- 57', Lemon A. 🟨,
- 67', Butrus D. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
- 72', Caspers M. ↓, Corbett C. ↑,
- 72', Halmarick S. ↓, Luchtmeijer A. ↑,
- 80', Galic B. 🟨,
- 86', Uchendu C. ↓, Roestbakken K. ↑,
- 86', Tumeth T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
70.6% | Draw
18.1% | Sydney FC
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Melbourne City - Sydney FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.34) |
5.05 ↑
(4.56) |
8.11 ↑
(7.12) |
9.2%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1.
- Melbourne City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Melbourne City is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Sydney FC?
Melbourne City has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney FC won against Melbourne City?
Sydney FC has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Sydney FC were as follows:
31.10.2025
Sydney FC
-
Melbourne City
2:2
15.02.2025
Melbourne City
-
Sydney FC
2:1
05.01.2025
Sydney FC
-
Melbourne City
1:1
24.11.2024
Sydney FC
-
Melbourne City
1:1
04.05.2024
Melbourne City
-
Sydney FC
0:1
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Sydney FC
Australian A-League Women Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | -2 | 31 |
| 5 | Adelaide W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Perth W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
