St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Sydney Roosters – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL St. George Illawarra Dragons - Sydney Roosters
Result
24:31
12/07/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, Kayo Sports, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3

Match Stats

Tries
45
Conversion Goals
45
Conversion Goal Attempts
45
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
100100
Dropped Goals
01
Dropped Goal Attempts
01
Total Runs
191168
Metres Run With Ball
17991590

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (18 - 19)
  • 3', Tupou D. (Try),
  • 4', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 8', Sloan T. (Try),
  • 9', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 11', Tupou D. (Try),
  • 12', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 14', Finau S. (Try),
  • 15', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Finau S. (Try),
  • 18', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Toia R. (Try),
  • 32', Savala H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Walker S. (Drop Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 12)
  • 46', Smith B. (Try),
  • 48', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Su'A J. (Try),
  • 66', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Radley V. (Try),
  • 79', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


St. George Illawarra Dragons
35.1%
Draw
3.9%
Sydney Roosters
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 3.8% 59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 4% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons - Sydney Roosters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.53)
    23.4
    (24.67)
    1.52
    (1.57)
    8.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for St. George Illawarra Dragons - Sydney Roosters?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.
    • Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 340:585. (average 17:29.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 190:245. (average 19:24.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Illawarra Dragons - Sydney Roosters were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Sydney Roosters - St. George Illawarra Dragons 46:18
    16.02.2025 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Sydney Roosters 26:8
    07.07.2024 Sydney Roosters - St. George Illawarra Dragons 42:12
    25.04.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Sydney Roosters 18:60
    19.05.2023 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Sydney Roosters 24:22
    Latest results of Sydney Roosters
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)22 : 14
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1Melbourne Storm (2)TBD #2