Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sydney Roosters
71.7%
Draw
3.9%
Newcastle Knights
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 3.8% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 3.8% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Sydney Roosters - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.39)
    22.76
    (24.75)
    3.8
    (3.16)
    8.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sydney is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 543:294. (average 27.2:14.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 307:136. (average 30.7:13.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Roosters - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters 8:12
    22.02.2025 Sydney Roosters - Newcastle Knights 10:48
    11.04.2024 Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters 20:22
    17.06.2023 Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters 16:18
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers651206:7210
    2Wests Tigers541156:9210
    3New Zealand Warriors642194:1188
    4Manly Sea Eagles633178:1408
    5Newcastle Knights642154:1428
    6South Sydney Rabbitohs532144:1328
    7Canterbury Bulldogs532101:968
    8NQ Cowboys743165:1818
    9Sydney Roosters532115:1388
    10Cronulla Sharks633158:1526
    11Brisbane Broncos633133:1396
    12Dolphins523116:1426
    13Melbourne Storm624160:1584
    14Gold Coast Titans624126:1484
    15Canberra Raiders624115:1824
    16Parramatta Eels624124:2264
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons60686:1730

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )