Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/05/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney).

AFL - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
Germany	Sportdigital+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1

Match Stats


Goals
11	9
Behinds
12	8
Kicks
211	216
Handballs
159	139
Disposals
370	355
Frees For
22	21
Frees Against
21	22
Clearances Completed
47	34
Marks
54	69
Tackles
69	72
Hitouts
52	28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (20 - 26)
03:33, Cripps P. (G),
06:43, Amartey J. (Behind),
09:55, Warner C. (G),
11:56, McKay H. (G),
15:55, McKay H. (Behind),
16:30, Hamling J. (G),
22:37, (Behind Rushed),
23:31, Cripps P. (G),
26:07, Curnow C. (G),
28:08, Hayward W. (G),
29:33, Amartey J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (13 - 14)
01:29, Heeney I. (Behind),
05:38, Durdin C. (G),
08:40, Heeney I. (G),
16:18, (Behind Rushed),
21:05, McInerney J. (G),
24:26, Evans F. (Behind),
29:47, McKay H. (G),
3rd Quarter (10 - 8)
04:44, Heeney I. (Behind),
07:24, Heeney I. (Behind),
08:13, Curnow C. (G),
10:19, Warner C. (G),
19:06, Curnow C. (Behind),
20:00, Evans F. (Behind),
23:48, Florent O. (Behind),
29:22, Heeney I. (Behind),
4th Quarter (35 - 14)
00:23, Amartey J. (Behind),
01:09, Grundy B. (G),
03:20, Amartey J. (G),
08:22, Jordon J. (Behind),
10:05, Ladhams P. (Behind),
11:02, Wicks S. (Behind),
12:52, Heeney I. (Behind),
17:49, Curnow C. (G),
18:55, Campbell B. (G),
22:21, (Behind Rushed),
25:09, Heeney I. (G),
28:34, Amartey J. (G),
29:53, (Behind Rushed),
30:51, Walsh S. (G),

Chances of winning

Sydney Swans
58.9%

Carlton Blues
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney Swans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlton Blues could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)		2.25 ↑ (2.22)	7.9% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

What is the prediction for Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues?

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:77.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
Sydney is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Carlton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Carlton will win today's game, with odds of 2.29.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1775:1311. (average 88.8:65.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1175:767. (average 90.4:59).

How many head-to-head matches has Sydney Swans won against Carlton Blues?

Sydney Swans has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Sydney Swans?

Carlton Blues has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues were as follows:

17.05.2024 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 117:65

08.09.2023 Carlton Blues - Sydney Swans 74:68

26.05.2023 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 77:51

03.03.2023 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 97:54

Latest results of Sydney Swans

10.05.2025 Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans 71:63 ✺

03.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Greater Western Sydney Giants 87:73 ✺

26.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans 117:79 ✺

20.04.2025 Sydney Swans - Port Adelaide Power 77:85 ✺

11.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans 109:78 ✺

Latest results of Carlton Blues

09.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues 62:77 ✺

03.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues 110:50 ✺

27.04.2025 Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats 94:76 ✺

18.04.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues 71:153 ✺

11.04.2025 Carlton Blues - West Coast Eagles 121:50 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Adelaide Crows (1)	Collingwood Magpies (4)	55 : 79
3	Brisbane Lions	Bye
4	Fremantle Dockers (6)	Gold Coast Suns (7)	79 : 80
5	Geelong Cats (2)	Brisbane Lions (3)	112 : 74
7	Adelaide Crows	Bye
8	GWS Giants (5)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	88 : 107

Quarter-finals

1	Collingwood Magpies (4)	Bye
2	Brisbane Lions (3)	Gold Coast Suns (7)	100 : 47
3	Geelong Cats (2)	Bye
4	Adelaide Crows (1)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	67 : 101

Semi-finals

1	Collingwood Magpies (4)	Brisbane Lions (3)
2	Geelong Cats (2)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	115 : 85

Final

1

TBD #1

Geelong Cats (2)