Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/03/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney).

AFL
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2

Match Stats


Goals
20	10
Behinds
12	9
Kicks
199	211
Handballs
179	170
Disposals
378	381
Frees for
19	22
Frees against
22	19
Clearances completed
40	39
Marks
63	70
Tackles
67	38
Hitouts
48	34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (3 - 14)
00:54, Kemp B. (Behind),
05:35, Curnow C. (Behind),
06:08, Kemp B. (G),
07:28, Curnow C. (Behind),
08:07, Hayward W. (G),
09:30, Williams Z. (Behind),
26:28, Amartey J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (15 - 14)
01:52, Warner C. (Behind),
06:44, Hayward W. (Behind),
08:57, Amartey J. (G),
12:16, Mills C. (Behind),
14:13, Papley T. (Behind),
17:30, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
22:25, Ainsworth B. (G),
26:52, Pittonet M. (G),
29:10, Hayward W. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (75 - 26)
01:28, Moir A. (G),
03:17, Pittonet M. (G),
05:17, McInerney J. (G),
07:21, McInerney J. (G),
09:26, McDonald L. (G),
11:28, Cripps P. (Behind),
12:38, Heeney I. (G),
15:32, Curnow C. (G),
17:34, Amartey J. (G),
22:26, Hollands O. (G),
25:21, Roberts M. (G),
28:25, McInerney J. (G),
30:20, Pittonet M. (G),
31:34, Gulden E. (Behind),
32:32, Roberts M. (G),
33:39, Heeney I. (G),
35:05, McInerney J. (Behind),
36:43, Papley T. (G),
38:31, Curnow C. (G),
39:49, Warner C. (Behind),
40:56, Lord C. (Behind),
4th Quarter (39 - 15)
01:27, Grundy B. (G),
05:54, Warner C. (G),
07:46, McKay H. (G),
11:09, Amartey J. (G),
13:00, (Behind Rushed),
15:34, Gulden E. (Behind),
17:46, Sheldrick A. (G),
20:43, Curnow C. (G),
21:53, Ainsworth B. (G),
24:07, Reidy L. (Behind),
25:32, Rowbottom J. (G),
26:38, Warner C. (Behind),
30:44, (Behind Rushed),
31:26, Roberts M. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Sydney Swans
73.4%

Carlton Blues
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)		3.37 ↓ (3.38)	7.8% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)

What is the prediction for Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 95:76.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4.
In this match, Sydney is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1829:1327. (average 91.5:66.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1229:783. (average 94.5:60.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Sydney Swans won against Carlton Blues?

Sydney Swans has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Sydney Swans?

Carlton Blues has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues were as follows:

16.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 78:62

17.05.2024 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 117:65

08.09.2023 Carlton Blues - Sydney Swans 74:68

26.05.2023 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 77:51

03.03.2023 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 97:54

Latest results of Sydney Swans

23.08.2025 West Coast Eagles - Sydney Swans 51:118 ✺

17.08.2025 Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats 68:111 ✺

09.08.2025 Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans 90:92 ✺

02.08.2025 Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers 68:54 ✺

25.07.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Sydney Swans 102:58 ✺

Latest results of Carlton Blues

21.08.2025 Essendon Bombers - Carlton Blues 56:90 ✺

15.08.2025 Carlton Blues - Port Adelaide Power 118:64 ✺

09.08.2025 Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns 74:93 ✺

03.08.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Carlton Blues 94:67 ✺

24.07.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Carlton Blues 85:61 ✺

AFL Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Sydney Swans	5	4	0	1	581:331	175.53	16
2	Fremantle Dockers	5	4	0	1	444:338	131.36	16
3	Hawthorn Hawks	5	4	0	1	535:442	121.04	16
4	Western Bulldogs	5	4	0	1	502:416	120.67	16
5	Gold Coast Suns	5	3	0	2	541:410	131.95	12
6	Brisbane Lions	5	3	0	2	490:426	115.02	12
7	North Melbourne	5	3	0	2	450:425	105.88	12
8	Geelong Cats	5	3	0	2	460:453	101.55	12
9	Melbourne Demons	5	3	0	2	467:504	92.66	12
10	Port Adelaide Power	5	2	0	3	447:404	110.64	8
11	Adelaide Crows	5	2	0	3	431:405	106.42	8
12	GWS Giants	5	2	0	3	434:469	92.54	8
13	Collingwood Magpies	5	2	0	3	348:377	92.31	8
14	St Kilda Saints	5	2	0	3	412:452	91.15	8
15	West Coast Eagles	5	2	0	3	386:600	64.33	8
16	Carlton Blues	5	1	0	4	393:513	76.61	4
17	Essendon Bombers	5	1	0	4	400:526	76.05	4
18	Richmond Tigers	5	0	0	5	297:527	56.36	0

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