Result
1:2
24/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Uruguay - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Machado L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 78', 1 - 1, Umpierrez L. ⚽,
- 90+12', 1 - 2, David Terans ⚽,
- 90+17', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Tacuarembó 18% | Draw 25.8% | Peñarol de Montevideo 56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.13 ↑ (5) |
3.58 ↓ (3.99) |
1.65 ↑ (1.5) |
8.2% (11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Tacuarembó has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tacuarembó won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Tacuarembó has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Tacuarembó?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
Latest results of Tacuarembó
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Draw
20251/16-finals1 | Atletico Arsenal | Oriental | 0 : 1 |
2 | Libertad San Carlos | Defensor Sp. | 0 : 3 |
3 | Bella Vista | Juventud | 1 : 0 |
4 | Nacional NH | Central Esp. | 1 : 3 |
5 | Rincon | Cerro Largo | 1 : 2 |
6 | San Carlos | Tacuarembo | 1 : 2 |
7 | Rio Negro SJ | Penarol | 0 : 3 |
8 | Durazno | Liverpool M. | 1 : 3 |
9 | Paso de la Arena | Boston River | 0 : 3 |
10 | Atenas Tala | Racing Montevideo | 0 : 1 |
11 | CA Florida | Atenas | 3 : 1 |
12 | Universitario Salto | Wanderers | 2 : 0 |
13 | Wanderers Durazno | Plaza Colonia | 2 : 3 |
14 | Huracan FC | Nacional | 1 : 2 |
15 | Porongos | Maldonado | 3 : 2 |
16 | Paysandu FC | Albion | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals1 | Oriental | Defensor Sp. | 0 : 2 |
2 | Bella Vista | Central Esp. | 1 : 2 |
3 | Cerro Largo | Tacuarembo | 0 : 1 |
4 | Penarol | Liverpool M. | 2 : 1 |
5 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 0 : 1 |
6 | CA Florida | Universitario Salto | 0 : 7 |
7 | Plaza Colonia | Nacional | 2 : 1 |
8 | Porongos | Albion | 0 : 4 |
Quarter-finals1 | Defensor Sp. | Central Esp. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Tacuarembo | Penarol | 1 : 2 |
3 | Racing Montevideo | Universitario Salto | 4 : 1 |
4 | Plaza Colonia | Albion | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Defensor Sp. | Penarol | 0 : 2 |
2 | Racing Montevideo | Plaza Colonia | 1 : 2 |
Final