Result
1:3
09/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 China | QQ Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 2.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/286) | 85% (345/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 1 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/286) | 85% (345/407) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (38/83) | 75% (108/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 20 |
| Tackles |
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| 19% (3/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Wen Jialong ⚽, Xia Z. (A),
- 18', Gao S. 🟨,
- 28', Gao S. 🟨,
- 34', Wang Z. ↓, Xiong J. ↑,
- 36', Yu Jingcheng 🟨,
- 44', Yao Daogang 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Yao Daogang ↓, Li Wei ↑,
- 46', Zhang Xingliang ↓, Tang Qirun ↑,
- 46', Huang W. ↓, Zhang Hao ↑,
- 56', Yang B. ↓, Ke Zhao ↑,
- 70', Tan Fucheng ↓, Lai J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Yue Zhilei ⚽, Hai Xiaorui (A),
- 77', Bai Tianci ↓, Wang Bohan ↑,
- 77', Cui Shengcheng ↓, Wang Z. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Wang Bohan ⚽, Tang Qirun (A),
- 86', 1 - 3, Tang Qirun ⚽, Lai J. (A),
- 90', Ma Ruize ↓, Xie W. ↑,
- 90+2', Yu Tianle ↓, Zhou Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Yuan Xiuqi ↓, Gao Shuo ↑,
Chances of winning
Hubei Istar
35.6% | Draw
32% | Taian Tiankuang
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubei Istar's form might have worsened.Taian Tiankuang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubei Istar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taian Tiankuang than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taian Tiankuang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hubei Istar - Taian Tiankuang Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.16) |
2.84 ↓
(3.02) |
2.82 ↓
(3.3) |
9.8%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hubei Istar - Taian Tiankuang?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hubei Istar will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
- Hubei Istar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Taian Tiankuang is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hubei Istar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hubei Istar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hubei Istar won against Taian Tiankuang?
Hubei Istar has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Taian Tiankuang won against Hubei Istar?
Taian Tiankuang has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Taian Tiankuang were as follows:
30.06.2024
Hubei Istar
-
Taian Tiankuang
4:0
15.04.2024
Taian Tiankuang
-
Hubei Istar
0:1
29.07.2023
Hubei Istar
-
Taian Tiankuang
4:1
11.06.2023
Taian Tiankuang
-
Hubei Istar
2:1
Latest results of Hubei Istar
Latest results of Taian Tiankuang
Chinese Yi League Table
2025North | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wuxi Wugou ✔ | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 27:12 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | Nantong Haimen | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Changchun Xidu | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 19:11 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan B | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Jiangxi Lushan | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 35 |
| 6 | Hangzhou Linping | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24:26 | -2 | 31 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port B ✔ | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | Taian Tiankuang ✔ | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan ✔ | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 22 |
| 10 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 16:32 | -16 | 20 |
| 11 | Hubei Istar ✔ | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 16 |
| 12 | Beijing Technology ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:29 | -10 | 14 |
South | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 44:9 | 35 | 54 |
| 2 | Shenzhen ✔ | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 38:16 | 22 | 40 |
| 4 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30:18 | 12 | 35 |
| 6 | Wuhan Three Towns B ✔ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21:18 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Wenzhou Professional ✔ | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 23 |
| 8 | Ganzhou Ruishi ✔ | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 18:27 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Kunming City Star ✔ | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 15:28 | -13 | 19 |
| 10 | Guangdong Mingtu ✔ | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 17 |
| 11 | Quanzhou Yassin ✔ | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 11:27 | -16 | 15 |
| 12 | Guangxi Lanhang ✔ | 21 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 9:43 | -34 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Shanghai Port B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Taian Tiankuang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Beijing Technology is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Shenzhen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Wuhan Three Towns B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Wenzhou Professional is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Ganzhou Ruishi is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Kunming City Star is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Quanzhou Yassin is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
