Fajing Sun vs Takuya Kumasaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/03/2026 at 22:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
53%52%
1st serve points won
62% (16/26)48% (11/23)
2nd serve points won
70% (16/23)33% (7/21)
Break Points Saved
2/32/7
1st return points won
52% (12/23)38% (10/26)
2nd return points won
67% (14/21)30% (7/23)
Break Points Converted
5/71/3
Winners
208
Unforced errors
2330
Net points won
76% (13/17)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
65% (32/49)41% (18/44)
Return Points Won
59% (26/44)35% (17/49)
Total Points Won
62% (58/93)38% (35/93)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
88% (7/8)38% (3/8)
Return games won
63% (5/8)13% (1/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Fajing Sun
68.6%
Takuya Kumasaka
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Takuya Kumasaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.35)

    2.97
    (3)
    7%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sun is ranked ATP: 264. Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 478.
    • Sun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kumasaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kumasaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sun is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Takuya Kumasaka - Fajing Sun 0:2
    Latest results of Fajing Sun
    21.03.2026 Fajing Sun - Koki Matsuda 2:0
    17.03.2026 Fajing Sun - Aaron Gabet 2:0
    09.02.2026 Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun 2:1
    05.02.2026 Fajing Sun - Blake Ellis 0:2
    Latest results of Takuya Kumasaka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Honda N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Broady L.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    3Tu L. (Alt)Overbeck C. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    6Shimizu Y.Cui J. (Q)2 : 1
    7Samrej K. (Q)Jubb P.0 : 2
    8Wendelken H.Zhou Y. (5)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (6)Sun F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shin S.Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jones M.Uchiyama Y.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Added D. (3)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H.Milic O. (NG)2 : 1
    15Ellis B. (PR)Kwon S.0 : 2
    16Tokuda R.Holmgren A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Honda N.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Noguchi R. (7)1 : 2
    3Hsu Y. H. (4)Shimizu Y.1 : 2
    4Jubb P.Wendelken H.1 : 2
    5Sun F.Imamura M.2 : 1
    6Uchiyama Y.Added D. (3)2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (8)Matsuoka H.0 : 2
    8Kwon S.Holmgren A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Broady L.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    3Sun F.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H.Kwon S. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (7)Wendelken H.2 : 1
    2Uchiyama Y.Matsuoka H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Noguchi R. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1