Tala`ea El-Gaish vs Al Ahly Cairo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League
Result
2:1
09/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.622.50
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
56
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
57
Passes
80% (275/343)88% (471/537)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
1.622.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.010.62
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
28
Blocked shots
58
Shots inside the box
1014
Shots outside the box
28
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2033
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
79
Passes
80% (275/343)88% (471/537)
Long passes
51% (29/57)61% (37/61)
Passes in final third
68% (50/73)80% (163/203)
Crosses
33% (5/15)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.35
Throw ins
2216
Fouls
97
Tackles
62% (13/21)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5541
Clearances
4613
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.622.01
Goals prevented
-0.380.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Atef M. ⚽, Camacho M. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Reyad H. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Ouro-Agoro I. 🟨,
  • 59', Otaka M. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Khaled Ramadan ⚽,
  • 66', Attia M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
  • 67', Omran R. ↓, Mostafa Y. ↑,
  • 74', Khaled Ramadan ↓, Souissi H. ↑,
  • 77', Bencharki A. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
  • 85', Atef M. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
  • 85', Tarek A. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
  • 85', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Khaled H. ↑,
  • 86', Souissi H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Mostafa Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tala`ea El-Gaish
12.6%		Draw
25.8%		Al Ahly Cairo
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.8% 25.9% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5% 25.3% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tala`ea El-Gaish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 7.4 ↑
    (6.72)    		 3.62 ↑
    (3.59)    		 1.51 ↓
    (1.54)    		 7.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 73.9% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - El-Gaish (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - El-Gaish (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Ahly Cairo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. El-Gaish (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Al Ahly (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
    • El-Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    • Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 2.
    • Recent performances by El-Gaish have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al Ahly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
    15.01.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - Tala`ea El-Gaish 1:2
    24.03.2025 Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo 3:1
    05.03.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Tala`ea El-Gaish 2:0
    08.07.2024 Al Ahly Cairo - Tala`ea El-Gaish 2:0
    01.07.2024 Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo 0:4
    Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
    05.03.2026 Petrojet - Tala`ea El-Gaish 1:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood 1:0 ✺
    23.02.2026 Kahrabaa Ismailia - Tala`ea El-Gaish 2:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al-Ittihad Alexandria 0:1 ✺
    29.01.2026 Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
    05.03.2026 El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo 1:3 ✺
    28.02.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - ZED 1:1 ✺
    23.02.2026 Smouha - Al Ahly Cairo 0:1 ✺
    19.02.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - El Gouna 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - FAR Rabat 0:0 ✺
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zamalek20134332:131943
    2Pyramids20134333:151843
    3Al Ahly20117233:191440
    4Ceramica Cleopatra20115429:161338
    5Al Masry2088429:20932
    6Smouha2087521:13831
    7Enppi2079420:16430
    8Wadi Degla2078523:20329
    9ZED2078521:16529
    10El Gouna20610416:15128
    11National Bank Egypt20511418:14426
    12Petrojet20510521:23-225
    13Modern Sport2058718:24-623
    14El Gaish2057814:24-1022
    15Al Ittihad20621215:24-920
    16Ghazl El Mahallah20213512:15-319
    17Arab Contractors2039813:21-818
    18Haras El Hodood20451115:29-1417
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia20441222:37-1516
    20Pharco202998:22-1415
    21El Ismaily20321511:28-1711

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )

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