Tala`ea El-Gaish vs El Gouna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.69
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
66% (207/312)69% (196/284)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.69
Total shots
128
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
66% (207/312)69% (196/284)
Long passes
47% (40/86)38% (26/68)
Passes in final third
50% (67/135)54% (43/80)
Crosses
39% (13/33)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.24
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1912
Tackles
82% (9/11)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5662
Clearances
1948
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.690.04
Goals prevented
-0.310.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Alaa A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Tarek A. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Emad M. , Mohsen M. (A),
  • 58', Al Madadha G. , Tarek A. ,
  • 58', Tarek A. , Keita A. ,
  • 64', Souissi H. 🟥,
  • 69', Tarek K. , Atef M. ,
  • 72', Emad M. , Ojo T. ,
  • 80', El Sayed B. , Jatta A. ,
  • 81', Khaled A. , Salah R. ,
  • 85', Awad K. , Hatem F. ,
  • 85', Hamdi A. , Zola A. ,
  • 86', Mohsen M. 🟨,
  • 87', Mohsen M. , Mahmoud M. ,
  • 88', Randrianantenaina A. , El Nahas M. ,
  • 90+3', Hatem F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tala`ea El-Gaish
30.4%
Draw
36.2%
El Gouna
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 34.2% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 33.5% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.09)
    2.59
    (2.71)
    2.81
    (2.59)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna were as follows:
    11.05.2025 El Gouna - Tala`ea El-Gaish 0:1
    07.02.2025 Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna 0:0
    21.05.2024 El Gouna - Tala`ea El-Gaish 0:0
    31.01.2024 Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna 2:1
    30.11.2023 Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna 1:1
    Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
    Latest results of El Gouna
    23.09.2025 Zamalek - El Gouna 1:1
    17.09.2025 El Gouna - Petrojet 1:1
    13.09.2025 Haras El-Hodood - El Gouna 2:1
    30.08.2025 El Gouna - ZED 1:1
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zamalek20134332:131943
    2Pyramids20134333:151843
    3Al Ahly20117233:191440
    4Ceramica Cleopatra20115429:161338
    5Al Masry2088429:20932
    6Smouha2087521:13831
    7Enppi2079420:16430
    8Wadi Degla2078523:20329
    9ZED2078521:16529
    10El Gouna20610416:15128
    11National Bank Egypt20511418:14426
    12Petrojet20510521:23-225
    13Modern Sport2058718:24-623
    14El Gaish2057814:24-1022
    15Al Ittihad20621215:24-920
    16Ghazl El Mahallah20213512:15-319
    17Arab Contractors2039813:21-818
    18Haras El Hodood20451115:29-1417
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia20441222:37-1516
    20Pharco202998:22-1415
    21El Ismaily20321511:28-1711

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