Tala`ea El-Gaish vs El Gouna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.69
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
66% (207/312)69% (196/284)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.69
Total shots
128
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
66% (207/312)69% (196/284)
Long passes
47% (40/86)38% (26/68)
Passes in final third
50% (67/135)54% (43/80)
Crosses
39% (13/33)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.24
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1912
Tackles
82% (9/11)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5662
Clearances
1948
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.690.04
Goals prevented
-0.310.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Alaa A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Tarek A. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Emad M. , Mohsen M. (A),
  • 58', Al Madadha G. , Tarek A. ,
  • 58', Tarek A. , Keita A. ,
  • 64', Souissi H. 🟥,
  • 69', Tarek K. , Atef M. ,
  • 72', Emad M. , Ojo T. ,
  • 80', El Sayed B. , Jatta A. ,
  • 81', Khaled A. , Salah R. ,
  • 85', Awad K. , Hatem F. ,
  • 85', Hamdi A. , Zola A. ,
  • 86', Mohsen M. 🟨,
  • 87', Mohsen M. , Mahmoud M. ,
  • 88', Randrianantenaina A. , El Nahas M. ,
  • 90+3', Hatem F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tala`ea El-Gaish
30.4%
Draw
36.2%
El Gouna
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 34.2% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 33.5% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.09)
    2.59
    (2.71)
    2.81
    (2.59)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna were as follows:
    11.05.2025 El Gouna - Tala`ea El-Gaish 0:1
    07.02.2025 Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna 0:0
    21.05.2024 El Gouna - Tala`ea El-Gaish 0:0
    31.01.2024 Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna 2:1
    30.11.2023 Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna 1:1
    Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
    Latest results of El Gouna
    23.09.2025 Zamalek - El Gouna 1:1
    17.09.2025 El Gouna - Petrojet 1:1
    13.09.2025 Haras El-Hodood - El Gouna 2:1
    30.08.2025 El Gouna - ZED 1:1
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    8Wadi Degla31202:0234
    9ZED31112:2033
    10National Bank Egypt31115:4130
    11Petrojet31204:3130
    12El Gouna30210:1-130
    13El Gaish31111:1026
    14Modern Sport30301:1026
    15Ghazl El Mahallah31203:2124
    16Arab Contractors31203:2123
    17Al Ittihad30302:2023
    18Kahrabaa Ismailia30302:2019
    19Haras El Hodood30212:4-219
    20Pharco30212:4-217
    21El Ismaily30210:1-113

          Relegation ~ Division 2 A