Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Talanta
62.2% | Draw
24% | Mwatate United
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Mwatate United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mwatate United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Talanta - Mwatate United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.44) |
3.76 ↓
(3.78) |
6.52 ↓
(6.87) |
10.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Talanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mwatate United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Talanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Talanta is the clear favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Talanta won against Mwatate United?
Talanta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mwatate United won against Talanta?
Mwatate United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talanta - Mwatate United were as follows:
Latest results of Talanta
Latest results of Mwatate United
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 58 |
| 2 | Mombasa United | 28 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 44:26 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Equity Bank | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 41:18 | 23 | 50 |
| 5 | MOFA | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 49 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:25 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Kibera | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 25:23 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 41 |
| 9 | Talanta FC | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:24 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Soy United | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 24:19 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 26:22 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 25:26 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 27:30 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Luanda Villa | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Darajani Gogo | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19:34 | -15 | 27 |
| 16 | Kabati | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 27 |
| 17 | Kisumu All-Stars | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 17:35 | -18 | 27 |
| 18 | MCF | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21:46 | -25 | 21 |
| 20 | Vihiga United | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
