Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Talanta
62.2% | Draw
24% | Mwatate United
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Mwatate United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mwatate United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Talanta - Mwatate United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.44) |
3.76 ↓
(3.78) |
6.52 ↓
(6.87) |
10.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Talanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mwatate United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Talanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Talanta is the clear favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Talanta won against Mwatate United?
Talanta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mwatate United won against Talanta?
Mwatate United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talanta - Mwatate United were as follows:
Latest results of Talanta
Latest results of Mwatate United
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori ✔ | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Mombasa United ✔ | 30 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | 3K FC | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 49:21 | 28 | 59 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 5 | MOFA | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 | Kibera | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27:24 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Soy United | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 26:22 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Talanta FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 29:28 | 1 | 41 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 37 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 27:33 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Luanda Villa | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 19:43 | -24 | 30 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:36 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Kabati | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 27 |
| 18 | Mwatate United | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26:50 | -24 | 24 |
| 19 | MCF | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 17:33 | -16 | 23 |
| 20 | Vihiga United ✔ | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Migori is Qualified for Premier League
Mombasa United is Qualified for Premier League
Vihiga United is Relegated to
