Talavera de la Reina vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
41
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Total shots
155
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
114
Corner Kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Ropero I. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Galarza A. , Valino A. ,
  • 46', Ropero I. , Dufur U. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Lopez O. ,
  • 49', Lopez O. 🟥,
  • 53', Arana M. 🟨,
  • 54', Mandiang S. , Pedernales I. ,
  • 60', Moreno M. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 62', San Bartolome V. , Sabin ,
  • 74', Molina E. , Naveira U. ,
  • 75', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Gomez V. ,
  • 75', Rodriguez F. , Ouacharaf B. ,
  • 87', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,
  • 87', Pitu , Molina A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
42.5%
Draw
29.7%
Barakaldo
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 30.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 31.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.33)
    3.44
    (2.94)
    3.77
    (3.03)
    -0.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Talavera is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barakaldo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barakaldo has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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