Result
 
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                        21/09/2025 at  06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 11 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Ropero I. 🟨, 
- 9', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑, 
- 46', Ropero I. ↓, Dufur U. ↑, 
- 46', 1 - 1, Lopez O. ⚽, 
- 49', Lopez O. 🟥, 
- 53', Arana M. 🟨, 
- 54', Mandiang S. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑, 
- 60', Moreno M. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑, 
- 62', San Bartolome V. ↓, Sabin ↑, 
- 74', Molina E. ↓, Naveira U. ↑, 
- 75', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Gomez V. ↑, 
- 75', Rodriguez F. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑, 
- 87', Roig A. ↓, Cuenca D. ↑, 
- 87', Pitu ↓, Molina A. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Talavera de la Reina 42.5%
 | Draw 29.7%
 | Barakaldo 27.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.27 ↓ (2.33)
 | 3.44 ↑ (2.94)
 | 3.77 ↑ (3.03)
 | -0.3% (10.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Talavera is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barakaldo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barakaldo has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Barakaldo?
                    
                    
                        
                            Talavera de la Reina has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Talavera de la Reina?
                    
                    
                        
                             Barakaldo has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Talavera de la Reina                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Barakaldo                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Tenerife | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 | 
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 | 
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 | 
| 4 | Barakaldo | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 15 | 
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 | 
| 6 | Real Aviles | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | 
| 7 | Lugo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 | 
| 8 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 | 
| 9 | CF Talavera | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 | 
| 10 | Guadalajara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | 
| 11 | Pontevedra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 | 
| 12 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 | 
| 13 | Cacereno | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | 
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 | 
| 15 | Arenteiro | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 | 
| 16 | Unionistas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 | 
| 17 | Osasuna B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 | 
| 18 | Merida AD | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 | 
| 19 | Ath Bilbao B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 | 
| 20 | Ourense CF | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 | 
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