Result
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina
38.4% | Draw
31.1% | Barakaldo
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Talavera de la Reina aligns with the current prediction.The ML Model estimate for Barakaldo aligns with the current prediction.
Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.33) |
2.95 ↑
(2.94) |
2.99 ↓
(3.03) |
8.9%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Talavera is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barakaldo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barakaldo has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Barakaldo?
Talavera de la Reina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Talavera de la Reina?
Barakaldo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo were as follows:
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Arenteiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ath Bilbao B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | CF Talavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Osasuna B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Ponferradina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Real Madrid B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Merida AD | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Lugo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
