Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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50% | 50% |
Total shots |
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15 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Total shots |
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15 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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11 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Ropero I. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
- 46', Ropero I. ↓, Dufur U. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Lopez O. ⚽,
- 49', Lopez O. 🟥,
- 53', Arana M. 🟨,
- 54', Mandiang S. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
- 60', Moreno M. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
- 62', San Bartolome V. ↓, Sabin ↑,
- 74', Molina E. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
- 75', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
- 75', Rodriguez F. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑,
- 87', Roig A. ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
- 87', Pitu ↓, Molina A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina 42.5% | Draw 29.7% | Barakaldo 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↓ (2.33) |
3.44 ↑ (2.94) |
3.77 ↑ (3.03) |
-0.3% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Talavera is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barakaldo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barakaldo has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Barakaldo?
Talavera de la Reina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Talavera de la Reina?
Barakaldo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo were as follows:
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Barakaldo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
6 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
8 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Ath Bilbao B | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
12 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation