Talavera de la Reina vs Cacereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
75
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Gomez C. ,
  • 30', Deco 🟨,
  • 30', Deco , Rementeria U. ,
  • 36', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sanchez L. , Molina A. ,
  • 46', Farrando M. , Moreno M. ,
  • 51', Molina S. , Montero Sergio ,
  • 61', Gonzalez C. , Sanchis R. ,
  • 61', Rementeria U. 🟨,
  • 68', Fernandez I. , Gomez D. ,
  • 68', Gomez C. , Sanvi ,
  • 71', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 77', Molina S. 🟨,
  • 86', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
43.8%
Draw
30.8%
Cacereño
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 30% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 25.3% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.09)
    2.98
    (3.1)
    3.63
    (3.63)
    8.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0.
    • Talavera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cacereño is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Talavera has had a series of away games.
    • Talavera will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño 1:3
    16.02.2025 Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina 1:1
    06.10.2024 Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño 2:2
    17.03.2024 Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina 4:0
    04.11.2023 Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño 1:2
    Latest results of Cacereño
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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