Ceuta vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ceuta - Talavera de la Reina
Result
4:1
14/05/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 36

Chances of winning


Ceuta
61.2%
Draw
22.5%
Talavera de la Reina
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 27.2% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 26.2% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.
  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talavera de la Reina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ceuta - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.75)
    4.19
    (3.3)
    5.63
    (4.2)
    8.4%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ceuta - Talavera de la Reina?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Talavera will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Ceuta is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
    08.01.2023 Talavera de la Reina - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Ceuta
    16.04.2023 Ceuta - Badajoz 3:0
    02.04.2023 Ceuta - Mérida AD 1:0
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Real Aviles631211:11010
    6Pontevedra63126:6010
    7Zamora62316:429
    8Ath Bilbao B62315:419
    9Osasuna B62313:309
    10Arenteiro62226:518
    11CF Talavera62227:708
    12Barakaldo61416:607
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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