Mensajero vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina
Result
1:0
28/01/2024 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Mensajero
24.5%
Draw
29.1%
Talavera de la Reina
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.7% 28% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 28.7% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.69
    (4.33)
    3.12
    (3.2)
    1.96
    (1.75)
    10.2%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Talavera will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Talavera de la Reina - Mensajero 2:0
    Latest results of Mensajero
    21.01.2024 Ursaria - Mensajero 2:2
    14.01.2024 Mensajero - San Fernando 1:0
    07.01.2024 Mensajero - CD Guadalajara 4:1
    17.12.2023 Unión Adarve - Mensajero 3:3
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2