Mensajero vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/01/2024 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Mensajero
24.5%
Draw
29.1%
Talavera de la Reina
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.7% 28% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 28.7% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.69
    (4.33)
    3.12
    (3.2)
    1.96
    (1.75)
    10.2%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Talavera will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Talavera de la Reina - Mensajero 2:0
    Latest results of Mensajero
    21.01.2024 Ursaria - Mensajero 2:2
    14.01.2024 Mensajero - San Fernando 1:0
    07.01.2024 Mensajero - CD Guadalajara 4:1
    17.12.2023 Unión Adarve - Mensajero 3:3
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Sebastian Reyes31197546:232364
    2Rayo Majadahonda31189448:232563
    3Getafe B31159751:321954
    4Conquense311412540:281254
    5CD Coria31149844:331151
    6Tenerife B311451252:49347
    7RSD Alcala311381038:37147
    8Orihuela3111101042:38443
    9Ilicitano3110111050:48241
    10Las Palmas B311081339:40-138
    11CF Intercity319101238:43-537
    12Navalcarnero31991335:41-636
    13Real Madrid C31971538:44-634
    14Fuenlabrada31891431:39-833
    15Colonia M31961637:54-1733
    16Quintanar del Rey31951731:41-1032
    17Rayo Vallecano B31931930:55-2530
    18Socuellamos31691629:51-2227

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation