Talavera de la Reina vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
17/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaFlow Eventos, Flow Sports
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaWin Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 4
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean
paraguayParaguayFlow Eventos
peruPeruAmerica TV GO, America TV
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainRTVE Play, TVE La 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayFlow
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter, Meridiano

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.782.93
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1625
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
511
Passes
80% (248/311)91% (535/587)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.782.93
xG on target (xGOT)
2.262.51
Total shots
1625
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
1213
Shots outside the Box
412
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
511
Touches in opposition box
1935
Accurate through passes
23
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
711
Passes
80% (248/311)91% (535/587)
Long passes
46% (24/52)66% (29/44)
Passes in final third
68% (75/111)87% (223/255)
Crosses
45% (9/20)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.792.08
Throw-ins
615
Fouls
117
Tackles
61% (11/18)33% (3/9)
Duels won
4032
Clearances
3417
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.512.26
Goals prevented
0.510.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 38', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Farrando M. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Sanchez L. , Capo P. ,
  • 46', Cuenca D. , Molina S. ,
  • 59', Roig A. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 66', Mastantuono F. , Rodrygo ,
  • 69', Moreno M. , Montero Sergio ,
  • 77', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Molina A. ,
  • 77', Endrick , Bellingham J. ,
  • 77', Guler A. , Tchouameni A. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Arroyo N. , Farrando M. (A),
  • 86', Ceballos D. , Cestero Sancho J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Mbappe K. , Tchouameni A. (A),
  • 90', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Di Renzo G. ,

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
4.3%
Draw
8.7%
Real Madrid
87%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
5.8% 13.2% 81%

Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
22.97
(16)
10.72
(7)
1.09
(1.14)
5.8%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Talavera will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Real will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 82.9%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Talavera (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75, 1st Half - Talavera (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.25 - Talavera (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Talavera (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Real (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Real (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Real (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Real (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Real (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Talavera (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Real (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1AzuagaBye
    2ByeLeganes
    3San FernandoBye
    4ByeAlbacete
    5Sant AndreuBye
    6ByeTeruel
    7Puerto de VegaCCD Alberite1 : 1, 4 : 0
    8ByeCelta Vigo
    9Rayo MajadahondaBye
    10ByeCF Talavera
    11CD EsteponaBye
    12ByeMalaga
    16ByeReal Madrid
    17UD LogronesBye
    18ByePonferradina
    19SD LogronesBye
    20ByeRacing Santander
    21AntonianoBye
    22ByeCastellon
    23Ciudad de LucenaBye
    24ByeVillarreal
    25GuadalajaraBye
    26ByeCacereno
    27La UnionBye
    28ByeCeuta
    32ByeBarcelona
    33PortugaleteBye
    34ByeValladolid
    35Deportivo GetxoBetis Valladolid2 : 1, 0 : 0
    36ByeAlaves
    37CD ExtremaduraBye
    38ByeLas Palmas
    39ToledoBye
    40ByeSevilla
    41RSD AlcalaBye
    42ByeTenerife
    43RodaBye
    44ByeGranada CF
    45Real AvilaBye
    46ByeReal Aviles
    47CampanarioCD Yuncos0 : 2, 0 : 0
    48ByeRayo Vallecano
    49JaenBye
    50ByeEldense
    51Lorca DeportivaBye
    52ByeAlmeria
    53Reus FCRBye
    54ByeCE Europa
    55Textil EscudoSD Negreira0 : 4, 2 : 1
    56ByeReal Sociedad
    57LangreoBye
    58ByeRacing Club Ferrol
    59Utebo FCBye
    60ByeHuesca
    61EbroBye
    62ByeTarazona
    63CD Sant JordiLourdes3 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeOsasuna
    65MutilveraBye
    66ByeZaragoza
    67Atl. TordesillasBye
    68ByeBurgos CF
    69NavalcarneroBye
    70ByeAD Merida
    71Inter de ValdemoroUniv. Julio Suarez3 : 1, 1 : 1
    72ByeGetafe
    73Atl. AstorgaBye
    74ByeMirandes
    75Caudal DeportivoBye
    76ByeGijon
    77Puente GenilBye
    78ByeFC Cartagena SAD
    79Sporting CeutaMaracena0 : 2, 1 : 1
    80ByeValencia
    81TropezonBye
    82ByeCultural Leonesa
    83Valle EguesBye
    84ByeAndorra
    85Ciudad CiezaBye
    86ByeCordoba
    87OrihuelaBye
    88ByeLevante
    89Ourense CFBye
    90ByeOviedo
    91ConstanciaBye
    92ByeGirona
    96ByeAth Bilbao
    97MurciaBye
    98ByeAntequera
    99UCAM MurciaBye
    100ByeCadiz CF
    101TorrentBye
    102ByeTorremolinos
    103Atletico MelillaPalma del Rio0 : 5, 0 : 5
    104ByeBetis
    105UD OurenseBye
    106ByePontevedra
    107NaxaraBye
    108ByeEibar
    109Quintanar del ReyBye
    110ByeUD Ibiza
    111ManisesUD Los Garres0 : 4, 2 : 0
    112ByeElche
    113PoblenseBye
    114ByeSabadell
    115UD SamanoBye
    116ByeDep. La Coruna
    117NumanciaBye
    118ByeArenas Getxo
    119Sant JustAtletico Calatayud4 : 1, 3 : 0
    120ByeMallorca
    121BalearesBye
    122ByeGimnastic
    123Atletic LleidaBye
    124ByeEspanyol
    128ByeAtl. Madrid

    1/64-finals
    1AzuagaLeganes1 : 4
    2San FernandoAlbacete0 : 3
    3Sant AndreuTeruel2 : 1
    4Puerto de VegaCelta Vigo0 : 2
    5Rayo MajadahondaCF Talavera1 : 4
    6CD EsteponaMalaga1 : 3
    8ByeReal Madrid
    9UD LogronesPonferradina1 : 3
    10SD LogronesRacing Santander0 : 4
    11AntonianoCastellon1 : 0
    12Ciudad de LucenaVillarreal0 : 6
    13GuadalajaraCacereno2 : 1
    14La UnionCeuta0 : 2
    16ByeBarcelona
    17PortugaleteValladolid1 : 0
    18Deportivo GetxoAlaves0 : 7
    19CD ExtremaduraLas Palmas3 : 1
    20ToledoSevilla1 : 4
    21RSD AlcalaTenerife0 : 4
    22RodaGranada CF1 : 5
    23Real AvilaReal Aviles1 : 0
    24CD YuncosRayo Vallecano1 : 6
    25JaenEldense1 : 3
    26Lorca DeportivaAlmeria0 : 2
    27Reus FCRCE Europa3 : 2
    28SD NegreiraReal Sociedad0 : 3
    29LangreoRacing Club Ferrol0 : 1
    30Utebo FCHuesca0 : 3
    31EbroTarazona2 : 1
    32CD Sant JordiOsasuna0 : 5
    33MutilveraZaragoza1 : 3
    34Atl. TordesillasBurgos CF1 : 2
    35NavalcarneroAD Merida2 : 1
    36Inter de ValdemoroGetafe0 : 11
    37Atl. AstorgaMirandes1 : 2
    38Caudal DeportivoGijon0 : 1
    39Puente GenilFC Cartagena SAD0 : 1
    40MaracenaValencia0 : 5
    41TropezonCultural Leonesa1 : 3
    42Valle EguesAndorra1 : 5
    43Ciudad CiezaCordoba1 : 0
    44OrihuelaLevante3 : 4
    45Ourense CFOviedo4 : 2
    46ConstanciaGirona2 : 3
    48ByeAth Bilbao
    49MurciaAntequera2 : 1
    50UCAM MurciaCadiz CF1 : 3
    51TorrentTorremolinos3 : 1
    52Palma del RioBetis1 : 7
    53UD OurensePontevedra1 : 2
    54NaxaraEibar2 : 4
    55Quintanar del ReyUD Ibiza2 : 1
    56UD Los GarresElche0 : 4
    57PoblenseSabadell1 : 2
    58UD SamanoDep. La Coruna1 : 5
    59NumanciaArenas Getxo3 : 0
    60Sant JustMallorca0 : 2
    61BalearesGimnastic2 : 0
    62Atletic LleidaEspanyol1 : 2
    64ByeAtl. Madrid

    1/32-finals
    1LeganesAlbacete1 : 2
    2Sant AndreuCelta Vigo1 : 2
    3CF TalaveraMalaga2 : 1
    4ByeReal Madrid
    5PonferradinaRacing Santander1 : 2
    6AntonianoVillarreal1 : 2
    7GuadalajaraCeuta1 : 0
    8ByeBarcelona
    9PortugaleteAlaves0 : 3
    10CD ExtremaduraSevilla1 : 2
    11TenerifeGranada CF0 : 1
    12Real AvilaRayo Vallecano1 : 2
    13EldenseAlmeria2 : 1
    14Reus FCRReal Sociedad0 : 2
    15Racing Club FerrolHuesca0 : 2
    16EbroOsasuna3 : 5
    17ZaragozaBurgos CF0 : 1
    18NavalcarneroGetafe2 : 3
    19MirandesGijon0 : 2
    20FC Cartagena SADValencia1 : 2
    21Cultural LeonesaAndorra4 : 2
    22Ciudad CiezaLevante0 : 1
    23Ourense CFGirona2 : 1
    24ByeAth Bilbao
    25MurciaCadiz CF3 : 2
    26TorrentBetis1 : 4
    27PontevedraEibar0 : 3
    28Quintanar del ReyElche1 : 2
    29SabadellDep. La Coruna0 : 2
    30NumanciaMallorca2 : 3
    31BalearesEspanyol1 : 0
    32ByeAtl. Madrid

    1/16-finals
    1AlbaceteCelta Vigo3 : 2
    2CF TalaveraReal Madrid2 : 3
    3Racing SantanderVillarreal2 : 1
    4GuadalajaraBarcelona0 : 2
    5AlavesSevilla1 : 0
    6Granada CFRayo Vallecano1 : 3
    7EldenseReal Sociedad1 : 2
    8HuescaOsasuna2 : 4
    9Burgos CFGetafe3 : 1
    10GijonValencia0 : 2
    11Cultural LeonesaLevante1 : 0
    12Ourense CFAth Bilbao0 : 1
    13MurciaBetis0 : 2
    14EibarElche0 : 1
    15Dep. La CorunaMallorca1 : 0
    16BalearesAtl. Madrid2 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1AlbaceteReal Madrid3 : 2
    2Racing SantanderBarcelona0 : 2
    3AlavesRayo Vallecano2 : 0
    4Real SociedadOsasuna3 : 2
    5Burgos CFValencia0 : 2
    6Cultural LeonesaAth Bilbao3 : 4
    7BetisElche2 : 1
    8Dep. La CorunaAtl. Madrid0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1AlbaceteBarcelona
    2AlavesReal Sociedad
    3ValenciaAth Bilbao
    4BetisAtl. Madrid