Villanovense vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Villanovense - Talavera de la Reina
Result
0:1
14/01/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 18

Chances of winning


Villanovense
25.9%
Draw
30%
Talavera de la Reina
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 30.8% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 29.9% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villanovense's form might have worsened.
  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villanovense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Villanovense - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (2.4)
    3.04
    (2.9)
    2.09
    (2.8)
    8.9%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6).
    • Recent matches Villanovense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Talavera is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Talavera will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Villanovense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villanovense - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
    03.09.2023 Talavera de la Reina - Villanovense 1:0
    Latest results of Villanovense
    07.01.2024 Villanovense - Ursaria 3:0
    06.12.2023 Villanovense - Betis 1:2
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2