Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 12
- Referee: Osomkov G. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Kivi A. ⚽,
- 44', Pajunurm M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 0, Jermatsenko A. ⚽, Smirnov A. (A),
- 59', Nigula R. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
- 59', Jurisoo T. ↓, Mihhailov V. ↑,
- 65', Palutaja H. ↓, Shevyakov D. ↑,
- 65', Tomberg M. ↓, De Pizzol O. ↑,
- 65', Kivi A. ↓, Lipp O. ↑,
- 75', Jermatsenko A. ↓, Leivategija M. ↑,
- 79', Surogin A. ↓, Kollo A. ↑,
- 86', Demidov E. ↓, Pevtsov G. ↑,
- 86', Iljin A. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
- 86', Domov P. ↓, Kobin J. ↑,
- 90', Sinilaid S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kuressaare
45.9% | Draw
25% | Tallinna Kalev
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.9) |
3.68 ↑
(3.6) |
3.16 ↓
(3.41) |
8.9%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kalev (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2.
- Kuressaare has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kalev is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kuressaare might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Tallinna Kalev?
Kuressaare has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Kuressaare?
Tallinna Kalev has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
05.04.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
4:1
21.02.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
4:0
19.10.2024
Kuressaare
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:1
09.08.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
0:3
03.07.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
2:2
Latest results of Kuressaare
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 60:20 | 40 | 56 |
| 2 | Flora | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 54 |
| 3 | Paide | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 51 |
| 4 | Narva | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 45 |
| 5 | Kalju | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 44 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 36 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 30:60 | -30 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 25:53 | -28 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 24:79 | -55 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
