Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 27
- Referee: Osomkov G. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Famuditimi H. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Usta T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Sinilaid S. ↓, Domov P. ↑,
- 59', Prunn S. 🟨,
- 63', Mihhailov V. ↓, Jurisoo T. ↑,
- 63', Sambe F. ↓, Sukunda Z. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Pajunurm M. (Pen),
- 70', Purje A. ↓, Udebuluzor M. ↑,
- 75', Kivi A. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
- 75', Prunn S. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
- 78', Sotsugov D. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 1, Pajunurm M. ⚽,
- 81', Iljin A. ↓, Kobin J. ↑,
- 87', Famuditimi H. ↓, Svedovski A. ↑,
- 90+3', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kuressaare
46.3% | Draw
25.5% | Tallinna Kalev
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuressaare's performance.Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.27) |
3.6 ↑
(3.5) |
3.26 ↑
(2.78) |
8.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev?
Users Predictions:
Kuressaare will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 3.
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Kuressaare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kuressaare might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Tallinna Kalev?
Kuressaare has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Kuressaare?
Tallinna Kalev has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
10.05.2025
Kuressaare
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
05.04.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
4:1
21.02.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
4:0
19.10.2024
Kuressaare
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:1
09.08.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
0:3
Latest results of Kuressaare
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 76 |
| 2 | Levadia | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 83:34 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Kalju | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
| 4 | Paide | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:31 | 28 | 66 |
| 5 | Narva | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 53:46 | 7 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 54:45 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 43:67 | -24 | 32 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 31:63 | -32 | 28 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 34 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 44:81 | -37 | 27 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev ✔ | 34 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 29:108 | -79 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tallinna Kalev is Relegated to Esiliiga
