Result
0:1
21/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 8
- Referee: Uprus T. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Villota M. 🟨,
- 32', Lipp M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 1, Limberg M. ⚽, Aloe K. (A),
- 60', Valja H. 🟨,
- 68', Sinilaid S. 🟨,
- 69', Demidov E. ↓, Roivassepp G. ↑,
- 74', Prunn S. ↓, Saar R. ↑,
- 74', Sinilaid S. ↓, Leivategija M. ↑,
- 79', Limberg M. ↓, Viidas S. ↑,
- 79', Vallik V. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 80', Pajo T. 🟨,
- 85', Sild J. 🟨,
- 87', Villota M. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
- 90+1', Pajo T. ↓, Seppik M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kuressaare
38.6% | Draw
25.5% | Pärnu Vaprus
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuressaare's performance.Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kuressaare that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.84) |
3.62 ↑
(3.5) |
2.57 ↑
(2.21) |
8.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kuressaare (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kuressaare will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 3.
- In recent matches, Kuressaare has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Kuressaare has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Kuressaare?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
31.01.2026
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Kuressaare
9:2
21.10.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Kuressaare
0:1
20.07.2025
Kuressaare
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
01.06.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Kuressaare
2:1
18.04.2025
Kuressaare
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
Latest results of Kuressaare
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | Kalju | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Narva | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:29 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
