Result
2:1
08/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 36
- Referee: Jakobson J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Kivi A. 🟨,
- 43', Dubackic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Vahermagi J. ↓, Iljin A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Usta T. ⚽, Udebuluzor M. (A),
- 63', Sinilaid S. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
- 68', Mihhailov V. ↓, Jurisoo T. ↑,
- 74', Pihela O. 🟨,
- 74', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Sukunda Z. ↑,
- 75', Laasner K. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
- 75', Demidov E. ↓, Pevtsov G. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Sambe F. ⚽, Smirnov R. (A),
- 83', Usta T. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 86', 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Kivi A. ⚽, Pevtsov G. (A),
- 90+2', Domov P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tallinna Kalev
26% | Draw
22.8% | Kuressaare
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna Kalev's form might have worsened.Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kuressaare's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kuressaare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↑
(2.84) |
4.08 ↑
(3.7) |
1.82 ↓
(2.13) |
7.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Kuressaare (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Kuressaare (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kuressaare will win
(21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kuressaare will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Kuressaare (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Kalev is Relegated to Esiliiga
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Kuressaare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kalev has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kuressaare is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Kuressaare?
Tallinna Kalev has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Tallinna Kalev?
Kuressaare has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare were as follows:
14.09.2025
Kuressaare
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:1
10.05.2025
Kuressaare
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
05.04.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
4:1
21.02.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Kuressaare
4:0
19.10.2024
Kuressaare
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:1
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | Kalju | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Narva | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:29 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
