Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 OT
22/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2935
Shots off target
1713
Shooting PCT
13.79% (4/29)8.57% (3/35)
Blocked shots
416
Goalkeeper Saves
3225
Saves PCT
91.43% (32/35)86.21% (25/29)
Penalties
10
PIM
20
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/0)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (0/0)
Hits
2316
Faceoffs Won
3026
Faceoffs %
53.5746.43
Giveaways
2017
Takeaways
35
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 07:25, 0 - 1, McDonagh R. (G), Goncalves G. (A),
  • 12:01, Gross T. (2 min),
  • 16:25, 1 - 1, Olofsson V. (G), Sharangovich Y. (A), Whitecloud Z. (A2)
  • 16:52, 2 - 1, Frost M. (G), Coronato M. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:28, 3 - 1, Backlund M. (G), Coleman B. (A), Brzustewicz H. (A2)
  • 11:47, 3 - 2, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 15:40, 3 - 3, Holmberg P. (G), Gourde Y. (A),
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:26, 4 - 3, Strome R. (G), Gridin M. (A), Bahl K. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Calgary Flames
28.8%
Draw
22%
Tampa Bay Lightning
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 21.7% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 21.5% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Calgary Flames - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (3.57)
    4.26
    (4.47)
    1.91
    (1.9)
    6.6%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Calgary Flames - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 50.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 2.
    • Recent performances by Calgary have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tampa Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury) Huberdeau J. (Hip Injury) Kuznetsov Y. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D. (Lower-Body Injury) Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) James D. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Calgary: Zary C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 58:75. (average 2.9:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 3.6:3.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Calgary Flames - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    26.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Calgary Flames 5:1
    27.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Calgary Flames 3:0
    12.12.2024 Calgary Flames - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:8
    07.03.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Calgary Flames 3:6
    16.12.2023 Calgary Flames - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2
    Latest results of Calgary Flames
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 4
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)4 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)2 : 4
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 4
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)4 : 2
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 0
    2Vegas Golden Knights (4)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 0
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 0
    4Buffalo Sabres (2)Montreal Canadiens (4)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2