Result
2:4
14/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.53% (2/19) | 11.43% (4/35) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.18% (31/34) | 89.47% (17/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (5/5) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.78 | 51.22 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 00:36, 0 - 1, Svechnikov A. (G), Aho S. (A), Walker S. (A2)
- 06:27, Svechnikov A. (2 min),
- 10:40, Gourde Y. (2 min),
- 14:29, Girgensons Z. (5 min),
- 14:29, Jarvis S. (2 min),
- 14:29, Jarvis S. (5 min),
- 17:28, 0 - 2, Aho S. (G), Svechnikov A. (A), Miller K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 04:32, Holmberg P. (2 min),
- 04:32, Aho S. (2 min),
- 09:05, Walker S. (2 min),
- 09:20, Hagel B. (2 min),
- 14:10, 1 - 2, Gourde Y. (G), Hedman V. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
- 15:31, 2 - 2, D'Astous C. (G), Point B. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 09:18, 2 - 3, Martinook J. (G), Ehlers N. (A), Reilly M. (A2)
- 18:29, 2 - 4, Stankoven L. (G), Hall T. (A),
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
41.8% | Draw
22.7% | Carolina Hurricanes
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.19) |
4.12 ↓
(4.26) |
2.64 ↓
(2.73) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Carolina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 6.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Face Injury)
- There will not play in Carolina: Gostisbehere S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kochetkov P.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Carlile D.
(Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:58. (average 3:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Carolina Hurricanes?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Hurricanes won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Carolina Hurricanes has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes were as follows:
26.02.2026
Carolina Hurricanes
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
5:4
20.12.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Carolina Hurricanes
6:4
26.09.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Carolina Hurricanes
6:5
22.09.2025
Carolina Hurricanes
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:2
11.03.2025
Carolina Hurricanes
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:1
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Carolina Hurricanes
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
