Result
3:2
18/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/347) | 78% (367/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/347) | 78% (367/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (25/73) | 40% (32/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (50/85) | 67% (106/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Arteaga M. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Pacius W. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Ngalina M. ⚽, Panayotou J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 3 - 1, Mendez A. ⚽,
- 57', Panayotou J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 57', Obalola A. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
- 61', Wyke L. 🟨,
- 63', Wyke L. ↓, Guillen A. ↑,
- 67', Hairston M. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
- 82', Pacius W. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 90+1', Marie P. ↓, Vancaeyezeele T. ↑,
- 90+2', Castellanos R. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Ngalina M. ⚽,
- 90+8', Arteaga M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies 40.4% | Draw 26.3% | Hartford Athletic 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (2.25) |
3.54 ↑ (3.53) |
2.8 ↓ (2.94) |
7.5% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Hartford is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
- In recent matches, Tampa Bay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hartford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Hartford Athletic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Hartford Athletic has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
16.07.2025
Hartford Athletic
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:1
23.10.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Hartford Athletic
2:2
21.06.2024
Hartford Athletic
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:1
27.09.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:2
02.09.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Hartford Athletic
2:1
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
USL Championship Table
MainEastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )