Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.09 | 0.34 |
Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Total shots |
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14 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
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79% (290/365) | 77% (232/302) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.09 | 0.34 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.02 | 0.71 |
Total shots |
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14 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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11 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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26 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 7 |
Passes |
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79% (290/365) | 77% (232/302) |
Long passes |
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46% (26/57) | 60% (32/53) |
Passes in final third |
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67% (82/123) | 62% (49/79) |
Crosses |
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36% (10/28) | 8% (1/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.29 | 0.33 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 25 |
Fouls |
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7 | 12 |
Tackles |
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45% (5/11) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
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42 | 39 |
Clearances |
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17 | 45 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.71 | 1.02 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.29 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Fernandes L. 🟨,
- 57', Fernandes L. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 58', Arteaga M. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
- 58', Bassett O. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 62', Jimenez J. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
- 62', Beckford D. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
- 77', Hairston M. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Hilton L. (A),
- 86', Presthus T. ↓, Diz A. ↑,
- 90+1', Wyke L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hilton L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hartford Athletic 40.5% | Draw 27.2% | Tampa Bay Rowdies 32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↓ (2.59) |
3.39 ↑ (3.35) |
2.85 ↑ (2.53) |
8.6% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hartford has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Hartford Athletic has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Hartford Athletic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
23.10.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Hartford Athletic
2:2
21.06.2024
Hartford Athletic
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:1
27.09.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:2
02.09.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Hartford Athletic
2:1
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )