Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (290/365)77% (232/302)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.71
Total shots
144
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
127
Passes
79% (290/365)77% (232/302)
Long passes
46% (26/57)60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
67% (82/123)62% (49/79)
Crosses
36% (10/28)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.33
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
712
Tackles
45% (5/11)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4239
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.711.02
Goals prevented
-0.290.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Fernandes L. 🟨,
  • 57', Fernandes L. , Skinner J. ,
  • 58', Arteaga M. , Pacius W. ,
  • 58', Bassett O. , Moon N. ,
  • 62', Jimenez J. , Careaga S. ,
  • 62', Beckford D. , Obalola A. ,
  • 77', Hairston M. , Makangila B. ,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Pacius W. , Hilton L. (A),
  • 86', Presthus T. , Diz A. ,
  • 90+1', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hilton L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
40.5%
Draw
27.2%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 27.6% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 27.2% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.59)
    3.39
    (3.35)
    2.85
    (2.53)
    8.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hartford has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic 2:2
    21.06.2024 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1
    27.09.2023 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:2
    02.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic 2:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )