Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (290/365) | 77% (232/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (290/365) | 77% (232/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 60% (32/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (82/123) | 62% (49/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Fernandes L. 🟨,
- 57', Fernandes L. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 58', Arteaga M. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
- 58', Bassett O. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 62', Jimenez J. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
- 62', Beckford D. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
- 77', Hairston M. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Hilton L. (A),
- 86', Presthus T. ↓, Diz A. ↑,
- 90+1', Wyke L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hilton L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hartford Athletic
40.5% | Draw
27.2% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.59) |
3.39 ↑
(3.35) |
2.85 ↑
(2.53) |
8.6%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hartford has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Hartford Athletic has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Hartford Athletic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
23.10.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Hartford Athletic
2:2
21.06.2024
Hartford Athletic
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:1
27.09.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:2
02.09.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Hartford Athletic
2:1
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
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