Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
18/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.93
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
73% (255/347)78% (367/468)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.541.87
Total shots
77
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
22
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
711
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
73% (255/347)78% (367/468)
Long passes
34% (25/73)40% (32/80)
Passes in final third
59% (50/85)67% (106/158)
Crosses
0% (0/7)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.170.70
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
1210
Tackles
80% (8/10)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3441
Clearances
2713
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
1.871.54
Goals prevented
-0.13-1.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Arteaga M. , Mendez A. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Pacius W. , Marie P. (A),
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Ngalina M. , Panayotou J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 3 - 1, Mendez A. ,
  • 57', Panayotou J. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 57', Obalola A. , Barry H. ,
  • 61', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 63', Wyke L. , Guillen A. ,
  • 67', Hairston M. , Njie B. ,
  • 82', Pacius W. , Moon N. ,
  • 90+1', Marie P. , Vancaeyezeele T. ,
  • 90+2', Castellanos R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Ngalina M. ,
  • 90+8', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
40.4%
Draw
26.3%
Hartford Athletic
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 26.5% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 26.8% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.25)
    3.54
    (3.53)
    2.8
    (2.94)
    7.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Hartford is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
    • In recent matches, Tampa Bay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hartford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1
    23.10.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic 2:2
    21.06.2024 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1
    27.09.2023 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:2
    02.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic 2:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7Colorado Springs723215:1329
    8FC Tulsa72329:819
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay70253:13-102

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)