Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
0:5
07/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.90
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
89% (394/442)92% (537/585)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.521.96
Total shots
715
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
89% (394/442)92% (537/585)
Long passes
72% (33/46)66% (29/44)
Passes in final third
74% (62/84)82% (148/180)
Crosses
13% (1/8)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.16
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1412
Tackles
43% (6/14)89% (8/9)
Duels won
3235
Clearances
189
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.960.52
Goals prevented
-3.040.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 13', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Caraballo G. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Caraballo G. ⚽, Thorhallsson D. (A),
  • 42', 0 - 3, Enrique R. ⚽, Rafael Santos (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Crisostomo D. ↓, Worth N. ↑,
  • 46', Arteaga M. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
  • 46', Freeman A. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
  • 46', Ojeda M. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
  • 55', Caraballo G. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 4, McGuire D. ⚽, Rodriguez N. (A),
  • 62', Niyongabire P. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
  • 62', Castellanos R. ↓, Bodily B. ↑,
  • 62', Araujo C. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
  • 62', Schlegel R. ↓, Brekalo D. ↑,
  • 70', Fernandes L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
  • 83', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 84', Rodriguez N. ↓, Angulo I. ↑,
  • 90', 0 - 5, Thorhallsson D. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
22.3%		Draw
26%		Orlando City
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 27.1% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 27.1% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tampa Bay Rowdies's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.12 ↑
    (3.3)    		 3.55 ↑
    (3.35)    		 1.8 ↓
    (2.01)    		 8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Orlando City is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    03.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion 2:2
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    19.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 1:2
    16.04.2025 Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    12.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:2
    Latest results of Orlando City
    03.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Orlando City 0:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Orlando City - Atlanta United 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 CF Montréal - Orlando City 0:0
    12.04.2025 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Orlando City 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1Steel CityPittsburgh
    2Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    3Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    4VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    5FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    6TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    7Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    8BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    9Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    10CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    11AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    12Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    13ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    14Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    15Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    16West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    17Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    18MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    19Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    20Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    21LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    22Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    23Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    24DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    25Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    26VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    27San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    28Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    29New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    30Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    31Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    32Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1TBD #1Virginia Dream
    2Asheville CityOne Knoxville
    3FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs
    4Indy ElevenUnion Omaha
    5Charlotte Independ.Charleston
    6Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic
    7ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo
    8Richmond KickersLoudoun
    9Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
    10Vermont GreenWestchester SC
    11LexingtonLouisville City
    12Flint CityDetroit
    13Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity
    14San AntonioFC Tulsa
    15New MexicoEl Paso
    16Orange County SCPhoenix Rising
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