Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/386) | 81% (383/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/386) | 81% (383/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (25/53) | 40% (20/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (90/148) | 65% (55/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Goodrum P. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 17', Ordonez A. 🟨,
- 29', Goodrum P. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Bassett O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Ordonez A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 55', Moon N. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 55', Bassett O. ↓, Hilton L. ↑,
- 71', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
- 71', Goodrum P. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 76', Fernandes L. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 76', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 77', Hilton L. 🟨,
- 80', Davila T. 🟨,
- 83', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 83', Serrano R. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 87', Castellanos R. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
- 89', McCabe N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Louisville City
61.1% | Draw
22.5% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.47) |
4.1 ↑
(3.96) |
5.65 ↓
(6.79) |
8.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Louisville City (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
- Louisville City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tampa Bay's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Louisville City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Louisville City?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
19.04.2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
1:2
12.10.2024
Louisville City
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:1
15.06.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
3:2
14.10.2023
Louisville City
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:3
09.09.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
2:1
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
