Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
07/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.90
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
89% (394/442)92% (537/585)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.521.96
Total shots
715
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
89% (394/442)92% (537/585)
Long passes
72% (33/46)66% (29/44)
Passes in final third
74% (62/84)82% (148/180)
Crosses
13% (1/8)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.16
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1412
Tackles
43% (6/14)89% (8/9)
Duels won
3235
Clearances
189
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.960.52
Goals prevented
-3.040.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 13', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Caraballo G. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Caraballo G. , Thorhallsson D. (A),
  • 42', 0 - 3, Enrique R. , Rafael Santos (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Crisostomo D. , Worth N. ,
  • 46', Arteaga M. , Pacius W. ,
  • 46', Freeman A. , Guske C. ,
  • 46', Ojeda M. , McGuire D. ,
  • 55', Caraballo G. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 4, McGuire D. , Rodriguez N. (A),
  • 62', Niyongabire P. , Mustali E. ,
  • 62', Castellanos R. , Bodily B. ,
  • 62', Araujo C. , Taifi Z. ,
  • 62', Schlegel R. , Brekalo D. ,
  • 70', Fernandes L. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 83', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 84', Rodriguez N. , Angulo I. ,
  • 90', 0 - 5, Thorhallsson D. , Angulo I. (A),

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
22.3%
Draw
26%
Orlando City
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 27.1% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 27.1% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tampa Bay Rowdies's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.12
    (3.3)
    3.55
    (3.35)
    1.8
    (2.01)
    8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orlando City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Orlando City is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    2TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    4ByeOrlando City
    5New England RevolutionBye
    7Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    8MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    9ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    10Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    12ByeAtlanta Utd
    13CharlotteBye
    15Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    16CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    17Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    18West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    20ByeColumbus Crew
    21DC UnitedBye
    23Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    24VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    25Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    26Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    28ByeNew York City
    29New York Red BullsBye
    31Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    32Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    33Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    34DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    36ByeChicago Fire
    37St. Louis CityBye
    39San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    40Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    41LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    42Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    44ByeAustin FC
    45Houston DynamoBye
    47New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    48Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    49Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    50VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    52ByeSporting Kansas City
    53Colorado RapidsBye
    55Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    56BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    57AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    58Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    60ByeMinnesota United
    61San Jose EarthquakesBye
    63Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    64Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    2ByeOrlando City
    3New England RevolutionBye
    4Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    5ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    6ByeAtlanta Utd
    7CharlotteBye
    8Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    9Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    10ByeColumbus Crew
    11DC UnitedBye
    12Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2
    13Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    14ByeNew York City
    15New York Red BullsBye
    16PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    17Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    18ByeChicago Fire
    19St. Louis CityBye
    20San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    21LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    22ByeAustin FC
    23Houston DynamoBye
    24New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    25Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    26ByeSporting Kansas City
    27Colorado RapidsBye
    28Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    29Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    30ByeMinnesota United
    31San Jose EarthquakesBye
    32Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1FC NaplesOrlando City0 : 1
    2New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    3ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd1 : 3
    4CharlotteCharlotte Independ.6 : 0
    5Richmond KickersColumbus Crew0 : 3
    6DC UnitedOne Knoxville3 : 4
    7Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    8New York Red BullsPittsburgh3 : 1
    9DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    10St. Louis CityFC Tulsa4 : 0
    11Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    12Houston DynamoEl Paso4 : 1
    13Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    14Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    15Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United0 : 1
    16San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Orlando CityNew England Revolution4 : 3
    2Atlanta UtdCharlotte2 : 0
    3Columbus CrewOne Knoxville4 : 1
    4New York CityNew York Red Bulls3 : 1
    5Chicago FireSt. Louis City1 : 2
    6Louisville CityHouston Dynamo1 : 2
    7Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids2 : 3
    8Minnesota UnitedSan Jose Earthquakes2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Orlando CityAtlanta Utd
    2Columbus CrewNew York City
    3St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
    4Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2