Lexington vs Tampa Bay Sun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
18/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Super League Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.261.27
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
60
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
31
Passes
78% (327/418)75% (265/351)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.261.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.26
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
36
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1713
Passes
78% (327/418)75% (265/351)
Long passes
44% (25/57)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
65% (53/82)56% (52/93)
Crosses
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.67
Throw ins
3124
Fouls
1218
Tackles
62% (16/26)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6541
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
1612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.262.44
Goals prevented
0.26-1.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Nasello S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 16', Pokorny M. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Weinert M. , Aylmer T. (A),
  • 39', Gaillard S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Gaillard S. , Heilferty A. ,
  • 46', Pokorny M. , McNeill S. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Barry C. , Bourgeois A. (A),
  • 50', 3 - 0, Barry C. ,
  • 64', 4 - 0, Barry C. ,
  • 65', Haugen V. , Walters F. ,
  • 65', Webber F. , Parsons M. ,
  • 67', Chism T. , Bryan S. ,
  • 68', Griffith S. , White H. ,
  • 69', Rajaee D. , Johnson H. ,
  • 69', Weinert M. , Fung T. ,
  • 72', Barry C. , Vernis N. ,
  • 80', Elizabeth Brown A. , Rohan C. ,

Chances of winning


Lexington
55.3%
Draw
25.1%
Tampa Bay Sun
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 24.9% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 24.3% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Tampa Bay Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Lexington - Tampa Bay Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.67)
    3.61
    (3.65)
    4.64
    (4.4)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Lexington is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tampa Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lexington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Tampa Bay Sun were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Tampa Bay Sun - Lexington 1:1
    10.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Sun 0:3
    12.04.2025 Tampa Bay Sun - Lexington 4:1
    02.11.2024 Tampa Bay Sun - Lexington 3:1
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Sun
    USL Super League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lexington W ✔ 261211346:232347
    2Sporting Jax W ✔ 25145650:282247
    3Carolina Ascent W ✔ 26136733:26745
    4Dallas Trinity W26971030:40-1034
    5DC Power W2689934:30433
    6Spokane Zephyr W2689929:28133
    7Brooklyn W25681129:35-626
    8Tampa Bay Sun W26591227:43-1624
    9Fort Lauderdale W26581330:55-2523

          Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lexington W is Qualified for USL Super League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Sporting Jax W is Qualified for USL Super League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Carolina Ascent W is Qualified for USL Super League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)