Result
3:1
20/12/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- USL Super League Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Peacock |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (288/406) | 71% (250/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (288/406) | 71% (250/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (52/87) | 66% (87/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Puerta A. ⚽, Kenton P. (A),
- 31', McNeill S. ↓, Pluck M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Murray C. ↓, Sullivan K. ↑,
- 56', Puerta A. 🟨,
- 61', Giammona C. ↓, Flint N. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Sullivan K. ⚽, Kenton P. (A),
- 64', DeSmit B. ↓, Pennock J. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Fusco J. ⚽,
- 80', Puerta A. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
- 88', Phillpotts G. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽, Hunt J. (A),
- 90+3', Gaillard S. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
- 90+3', Fusco J. ↓, Shimkin J. ↑,
- 90+3', Nasello S. ↓, Zade J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Jacksonville
53.5% | Draw
25.2% | Tampa Bay Sun
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Jacksonville's form might have worsened.Tampa Bay Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Sun's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Jacksonville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Sun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Sun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.46) |
3.63 ↓
(4.1) |
4.28 ↓
(6) |
9.6%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- Sporting Jax is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tampa Bay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sporting Jax is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting Jax won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Jacksonville won against Tampa Bay Sun?
Sporting Jacksonville has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Sun won against Sporting Jacksonville?
Tampa Bay Sun has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Sun were as follows:
06.12.2025
Tampa Bay Sun
-
Sporting Jacksonville
0:3
30.08.2025
Tampa Bay Sun
-
Sporting Jacksonville
2:3
Latest results of Sporting Jacksonville
Latest results of Tampa Bay Sun
USL Super League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Jax W | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | Lexington W | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 33:18 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Dallas Trinity W | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 4 | Carolina Ascent W | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 23 |
| 5 | Spokane Zephyr W | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Brooklyn W | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 22:24 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | Fort Lauderdale W | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23:36 | -13 | 19 |
| 8 | DC Power W | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
