Result
0:0
22/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Clemente J. ↓, Saldivar J. ↑,
- 46', Castillo E. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 60', Martinez J. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
- 62', Robles E. ↓, Castellanos E. ↑,
- 68', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 71', Escoboza A. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
- 81', Blanco J. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 86', Rodriguez M. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 86', Lopez Gonzalez J. A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jaiba Brava
55.7% | Draw
24.8% | Tlaxcala
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tlaxcala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tlaxcala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jaiba Brava - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.93) |
3.73 ↑
(3.54) |
4.73 ↑
(3.49) |
8.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Jaiba Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Jaiba Brava is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Tlaxcala?
Jaiba Brava has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Jaiba Brava?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Tlaxcala were as follows:
11.10.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Jaiba Brava
1:1
01.03.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Jaiba Brava
0:0
14.09.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Tlaxcala
0:1
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
