Tlaxcala vs Jaiba Brava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava
11/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Tlaxcala
26.4%
Draw
27%
Jaiba Brava
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 27.7% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 27.3% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3.42)
    3.43
    (3.36)
    1.99
    (2.07)
    8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 3.
    • Tlaxcala is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jaiba Brava is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tlaxcala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Jaiba Brava could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava 0:0
    14.09.2024 Jaiba Brava - Tlaxcala 0:1
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    Latest results of Jaiba Brava
    27.09.2025 Dorados - Jaiba Brava 2:3
    20.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Cancún 2:1
    06.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Tapatío 2:1
    30.08.2025 Irapuato - Jaiba Brava 1:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun971117:41322
    2Tampico Madero862014:8620
    3Atlante961221:81319
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos1045119:11817
    5Irapuato952217:11617
    6Leones Negros933314:12212
    7Atletico La Paz933319:18112
    8Tlaxcala1033411:19-812
    9Tapatio1032513:12111
    10Venados932422:24-211
    11Atl. Morelia932413:18-511
    12Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca921611:19-87
    14Correcaminos1013614:27-136
    15Dorados de Sinaloa101096:20-143

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)