Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Armenta J. E. H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Plascencia F. (Pen),
- 17', Solis E. 🟨,
- 44', Tejeda D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Buganza F. 🟨,
- 45+2', Zaragoza A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. 🟨,
- 56', Solis E. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
- 57', Tejeda D. ↓, Partida F. ↑,
- 70', Zaragoza A. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
- 71', Flores S. ↓, Soto O. ↑,
- 71', Perez E. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
- 75', Vazquez J. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Soto O. ⚽, Pedroza M. (A),
- 84', Perez O. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 84', Peralta J. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez P. ↓, Godinez I. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ↓, Viniegra A. ↑,
- 90+3', Escoboza A. ↓, Trevino J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
41% | Draw
27.8% | Jaiba Brava
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tlaxcala's performance.Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaiba Brava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tlaxcala that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaiba Brava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(3.42) |
3.54 ↑
(3.36) |
3.16 ↑
(2.07) |
1.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 3.
- Tlaxcala is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jaiba Brava is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tlaxcala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jaiba Brava is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Jaiba Brava?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Tlaxcala?
Jaiba Brava has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
01.03.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Jaiba Brava
0:0
14.09.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Tlaxcala
0:1
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
