Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 12 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Manriquez S. 🟨,
- 37', Aguayo S. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Del Angel E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Manriquez S. 🟨,
- 63', Guajardo D. 🟨,
- 67', 🟨,
- 67', Guajardo D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 67', Torres C. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 68', Barragan M. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
- 74', Garcia G. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
- 74', Zamora S. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
- 78', Baltazar C. ↓, Recalde B. ↑,
- 79', Gamboa J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 85', Aguayo S. ↓, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ↑,
- 85', Hernandez P. ↓, Luna E. G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Celaya 53.8% | Draw 25.3% | Tapatío 20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celaya's form might have worsened.Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tapatío's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+14.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tapatío, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Celaya - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↑ (1.44) |
3.66 ↓ (4.55) |
4.43 ↓ (5.93) |
7.9% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Celaya - Tapatío?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Celaya is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 1.
- Recent matches Celaya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tapatío is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tapatío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Celaya is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Celaya won against Tapatío?
Celaya has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Celaya?
Tapatío has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Tapatío were as follows:
23.11.2024
Tapatío
-
Celaya
3:2
20.11.2024
Celaya
-
Tapatío
1:2
01.11.2024
Tapatío
-
Celaya
1:1
27.04.2024
Tapatío
-
Celaya
2:0
24.04.2024
Celaya
-
Tapatío
4:3
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Irapuato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Tapatio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Tampico Madero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Cancun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Atl. Morelia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Tlaxcala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Leones Negros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Atletico La Paz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Venados | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)