Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Manriquez S. 🟨,
- 37', Aguayo S. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Del Angel E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Manriquez S. 🟨,
- 63', Guajardo D. 🟨,
- 67', 🟨,
- 67', Guajardo D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 67', Torres C. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 68', Barragan M. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
- 74', Garcia G. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
- 74', Zamora S. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
- 78', Baltazar C. ↓, Recalde B. ↑,
- 79', Gamboa J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 85', Aguayo S. ↓, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ↑,
- 85', Hernandez P. ↓, Luna E. G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Celaya
53.8% | Draw
25.3% | Tapatío
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celaya's form might have worsened.Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tapatío's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+14.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tapatío, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Celaya - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.44) |
3.66 ↓
(4.55) |
4.43 ↓
(5.93) |
7.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Celaya - Tapatío?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Celaya is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 1.
- Recent matches Celaya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tapatío is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tapatío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Celaya is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Celaya won against Tapatío?
Celaya has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Celaya?
Tapatío has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Tapatío were as follows:
23.11.2024
Tapatío
-
Celaya
3:2
20.11.2024
Celaya
-
Tapatío
1:2
01.11.2024
Tapatío
-
Celaya
1:1
27.04.2024
Tapatío
-
Celaya
2:0
24.04.2024
Celaya
-
Tapatío
4:3
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
