Celaya vs Tapatío – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
117
Corner Kicks
112
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Manriquez S. 🟨,
  • 37', Aguayo S. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Del Angel E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Manriquez S. 🟨,
  • 63', Guajardo D. 🟨,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 67', Guajardo D. , Castro A. ,
  • 67', Torres C. , Egurrola L. ,
  • 68', Barragan M. , Tejeda D. ,
  • 74', Garcia G. , Villaseca D. ,
  • 74', Zamora S. , Cendejas M. ,
  • 78', Baltazar C. , Recalde B. ,
  • 79', Gamboa J. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 85', Aguayo S. , Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ,
  • 85', Hernandez P. , Luna E. G. ,

Chances of winning


Celaya
53.8%
Draw
25.3%
Tapatío
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 20.3% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 21.7% 14.6%

Celaya - Tapatío Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.72
(1.44)
3.66
(4.55)
4.43
(5.93)
7.9%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Celaya - Tapatío?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Celaya is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 1.
    • Recent matches Celaya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tapatío is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tapatío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Celaya is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Tapatío were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Tapatío - Celaya 3:2
    20.11.2024 Celaya - Tapatío 1:2
    01.11.2024 Tapatío - Celaya 1:1
    27.04.2024 Tapatío - Celaya 2:0
    24.04.2024 Celaya - Tapatío 4:3
    Latest results of Celaya
    05.04.2025 Tlaxcala - Celaya 0:3
    22.03.2025 Cancún - Celaya 1:1
    15.03.2025 Jaiba Brava - Celaya 0:0
    Latest results of Tapatío
    05.04.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:2
    19.03.2025 Tapatío - Atlante 1:1
    09.03.2025 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:0
    05.03.2025 Venados - Tapatío 4:2
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Leones Negros (6)4 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Atlante (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Irapuato (4)Zacatecas Mineros (5)2 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Cancun (2)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)
    2Irapuato (4)Atl. Morelia (7)0 : 0