Result
2:0
30/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Villaseca D. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Aguayo S. ⚽, Villaseca D. (A),
- 45+3', Rivera E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 0, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ⚽,
- 56', Gonzalez O. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 56', Lara M. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 62', Villaseca D. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 64', Moragrega V. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 69', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 69', Rivera E. ↓, Morales F. ↑,
- 76', Aguayo S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 76', Jimenez L. 🟨,
- 79', Perez J. ↓, Sepulveda J. ↑,
- 86', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 86', Jimenez L. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
42% | Draw
26.8% | Leones Negros UdeG
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.08) |
3.45 ↑
(3.38) |
2.96 ↓
(3.17) |
8.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Leones Negros UdeG (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Leones Negros UdeG (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Leones Negros UdeG (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Leones Negros UdeG (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2.
- Leones Negros UdeG is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tapatío is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Tapatío?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
22.08.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tapatío
1:1
07.06.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tapatío
1:2
31.05.2025
Tapatío
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:0
12.01.2025
Tapatío
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:3
27.12.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tapatío
3:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
