Result
1:0
09/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Gurrea D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2, Hi! Sports, Marca Claro, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zamudio J. ↓, Millan O. ↑,
- 46', Santillan F. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Mendez F. ⚽,
- 61', Jimenez L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 61', Esparza S. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
- 68', Tellez B. 🟨,
- 68', Torres C. ↓, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ↑,
- 68', Uribe J. ↓, Rodriguez Vazquez B. ↑,
- 68', Rios P. ↓, Gama D. ↑,
- 68', Celaya J. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 73', Tellez B. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
- 78', Alonso L. ↓, Lajud R. ↑,
- 83', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 85', Morales B. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+7', Cervantes D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Ledesma Hurtado L. E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
50.6% | Draw
25.4% | Tlaxcala
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tapatío's form might have worsened.Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tlaxcala's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Tapatío - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.52) |
3.66 ↓
(4.35) |
3.88 ↓
(5.15) |
7.5%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 3.
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Tlaxcala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Tapatío is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:11 (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tapatío won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Tlaxcala?
Tapatío has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Tapatío?
Tlaxcala has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Tlaxcala were as follows:
21.09.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
2:3
12.03.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
0:3
24.08.2023
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
2:0
06.05.2023
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
03.05.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
2:2
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
