Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Mendez F. 🟨,
- 37', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 39', Aguayo S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Rojas H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Inda C. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
- 46', Mendez F. ↓, Villegas A. ↑,
- 46', Torres C. ↓, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
- 60', Salomon O. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 60', Sandoval E. ↓, Guerrero H. ↑,
- 68', 🟨,
- 70', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ↓, Buganza F. ↑,
- 71', Rojas H. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 71', Villaseca D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 71', Freyfeld E. ↓, Tellez B. ↑,
- 79', Plascencia F. 🟨,
- 82', Zamora S. 🟨,
- 84', Tejeda D. ↓, Solis E. ↑,
- 90+6', Guerrero H. 🟨,
- 90+6', Delgadillo D. 🟨,
- 90+10', Solis E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
40.6% | Draw
27% | Tapatío
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Tlaxcala - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27
(2.27) |
3.41 ↓
(3.42) |
2.85 ↓
(2.88) |
8.5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 0.
- Tlaxcala is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tapatío has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tlaxcala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Tapatío?
Tlaxcala has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Tlaxcala?
Tapatío has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Tapatío were as follows:
09.03.2025
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
1:0
21.09.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
2:3
12.03.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
0:3
24.08.2023
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
2:0
06.05.2023
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
