Tapatío vs Tlaxcala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tapatío - Tlaxcala
Result
1:0
09/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Gurrea D. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2, Hi! Sports, Marca Claro, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
1610
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
105
Corner Kicks
60
Goalkeeper Saves
55
Yellow Cards
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zamudio J. , Millan O. ,
  • 46', Santillan F. , Santos P. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Mendez F. ,
  • 61', Jimenez L. , Gomez M. ,
  • 61', Esparza S. , Flores D. ,
  • 68', Tellez B. 🟨,
  • 68', Torres C. , Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ,
  • 68', Uribe J. , Rodriguez Vazquez B. ,
  • 68', Rios P. , Gama D. ,
  • 68', Celaya J. , Morales B. ,
  • 73', Tellez B. , Cendejas M. ,
  • 78', Alonso L. , Lajud R. ,
  • 83', Gomez M. 🟨,
  • 85', Morales B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Cervantes D. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Ledesma Hurtado L. E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tapatío
50.6%
Draw
25.4%
Tlaxcala
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 21.2% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 19.2% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tapatío's form might have worsened.
  • Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tlaxcala's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Tapatío - Tlaxcala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.52)
    3.66
    (4.35)
    3.88
    (5.15)
    7.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 3.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Tlaxcala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Tapatío is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:11 (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tapatío won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Tlaxcala were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 2:3
    12.03.2024 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 0:3
    24.08.2023 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 2:0
    06.05.2023 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:1
    03.05.2023 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 2:2
    Latest results of Tapatío
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)