Result
6:5 penalties
31/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 3.40 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.63% (5/32) | 20.83% (5/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 79.17% (19/24) | 84.38% (27/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.46 | 47.54 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:06, 0 - 1, Haapala H. (G), Brickley D. (A), Tuulola E. (A2)
- 07:15, 1 - 1, Kiviharju A. (G), Marleau V. (A), Lehtera J. (A2)
- 09:36, Josling S. (2 min),
- 09:58, Marleau V. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 02:41, (2 min),
- 04:54, 2 - 1, Nykyri N. (G), Lehtera J. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
- 07:56, 3 - 1, Marleau V. (G), Ervasti K. (A), Lehtera J. (A2)
- 11:06, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
- 12:49, 4 - 1, Kiviharju A. (G), Palmu P. (A), Josling S. (A2)
- 17:10, 4 - 2, Jokipakka J. (G), Sylvegard E. (A), Pavel O. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 05:07, Andersson J. (2 min),
- 05:07, Somppi O. (2 min),
- 11:02, 5 - 2, Makiaho D. (G), Pakarinen I. (A), Uronen A. (A2)
- 11:02, (2 min),
- 13:43, 5 - 3, Keskinen O. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
- 16:35, 5 - 4, Tanus K. (G), Brickley D. (A), Keskinen O. (A2)
- 18:51, 5 - 5, Blichfeld J. (G), Haapala H. (A), Jokipakka J. (A2)
- 18:51, (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Tanus K. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Makiaho D. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Blichfeld J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Marleau V. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Simontaival K. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kiviharju A. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Makiaho D. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Rautiainen B. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
HIFK
27.9% | Draw
23% | Tappara
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HIFK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HIFK - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(2.88) |
4.02 ↓
(4.27) |
1.91 ↓
(2.04) |
7.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 3.
- In recent matches, HIFK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tappara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tappara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tappara might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 57:73. (average 2.9:3.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 3:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Tappara?
HIFK has won 7 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against HIFK?
Tappara has won 14 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Tappara were as follows:
16.01.2026
Tappara
-
HIFK
4:5
10.12.2025
HIFK
-
Tappara
6:3
31.10.2025
Tappara
-
HIFK
4:1
01.02.2025
HIFK
-
Tappara
3:2
12.12.2024
Tappara
-
HIFK
4:3
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
