Result
2:4
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 2.33 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 22.22% (4/18) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 82.35% (14/17) | 92% (23/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 42 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 12.5% (1/8) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 87.5% (7/8) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.41 | 42.59 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:01, Tuulola J. (2 min),
- 02:17, (2 min),
- 05:37, 1 - 0, Tuulola J. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Rasanen A. (A2)
- 14:52, Andersson J. (2 min),
- 17:39, Kangas K. (2 min),
- 19:04, 2 - 0, Blichfeld J. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 03:54, Wright C. (2 min),
- 07:28, (2 min),
- 11:27, Tanus K. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 4)
- 01:33, Alitalo V. (2 min),
- 04:34, 2 - 1, Paivarinta S. (G), Kiiskinen J. (A), Wright C. (A2)
- 04:34, Wright C. (10 min),
- 05:07, 2 - 2, Kainulainen H. (G), Vesalainen K. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
- 05:07, Wright C. (Game Misconduct),
- 09:00, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
- 11:36, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 13:43, 2 - 3, Kukkonen M. (G), Rautiainen T. (A), Sertti L. (A2)
- 18:58, 2 - 4, Vesterinen R. (G), Paivarinta S. (A),
Chances of winning
Tappara
61.2% | Draw
20% | HPK
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Tappara - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.51) |
4.67 ↑
(4.57) |
4.94 ↓
(5.25) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tappara has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tappara is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 69:37. (average 3.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 3.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against HPK?
Tappara has won 11 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Tappara?
HPK has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - HPK were as follows:
04.09.2025
HPK
-
Tappara
2:3
04.03.2025
Tappara
-
HPK
3:1
25.01.2025
HPK
-
Tappara
4:3
07.12.2024
HPK
-
Tappara
2:3
17.11.2024
Tappara
-
HPK
3:0
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
