Result
2:1
05/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 2.36 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.53% (2/19) | 3.57% (1/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.43% (27/28) | 89.47% (17/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.56 | 44.44 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 00:42, 1 - 0, Rautiainen B. (G), Tanus K. (A), Jokipakka J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 11:15, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 17:12, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:51, 2 - 0, Jokipakka J. (G), Tanus K. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
- 01:33, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
- 09:31, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
- 17:26, 2 - 1, Wright C. (G), Jokirinne V. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tappara
70.8% | Draw
15.7% | HPK
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Tappara - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.4) |
6.03 ↑
(5.24) |
7.05 ↑
(6.47) |
6.5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Tappara - HPK?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 3 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tappara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Tappara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- HPK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tappara is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 67:40. (average 3.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 3.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against HPK?
Tappara has won 12 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Tappara?
HPK has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - HPK were as follows:
05.12.2025
HPK
-
Tappara
1:3
04.10.2025
Tappara
-
HPK
2:4
04.09.2025
HPK
-
Tappara
2:3
04.03.2025
Tappara
-
HPK
3:1
25.01.2025
HPK
-
Tappara
4:3
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
