Result
3:1
02/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.76 | 2.04 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.11% (3/27) | 5.88% (1/17) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.12% (16/17) | 88.89% (24/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 67.92 | 32.08 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:31, 1 - 0, Juolevi O. (G), Tanus K. (A),
- 05:54, Andzans A. (2 min),
- 11:05, Saarinen K. (2 min),
- 11:05, Makinen I. (2 min),
- 11:05, Tanus K. (2 min),
- 11:05, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 05:24, Andzans A. (2 min),
- 10:01, 2 - 0, Tanus K. (G),
- 12:46, Andzans A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:22, 3 - 0, Brickley D. (G), Tanus K. (A),
- 14:27, 3 - 1, Toivonen V. (G), Nikkila P. (A), Vesterinen R. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tappara
64.9% | Draw
19.5% | HPK
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Tappara - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.5) |
4.8 ↑
(4.57) |
5.98 ↑
(5.43) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Tappara - HPK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 3 - 75%). HPK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Tappara (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Tappara (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Tappara (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Tappara (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5, OT - Tappara (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5, OT - Tappara (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Tappara (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Tappara (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Tappara (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tappara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Tappara (votes: 12 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Tappara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- HPK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tappara is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 65:41. (average 3.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 3.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against HPK?
Tappara has won 14 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Tappara?
HPK has won 5 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - HPK were as follows:
30.03.2026
HPK
-
Tappara
2:1
28.03.2026
Tappara
-
HPK
2:1
17.03.2026
HPK
-
Tappara
3:2
05.01.2026
Tappara
-
HPK
2:1
05.12.2025
HPK
-
Tappara
1:3
Latest results of Tappara
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
