Tappara vs HPK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Tappara - HPK
Result
3:1
04/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.933.94
Shots on Goal
2536
Shots off Goal
913
Shooting PCT
12% (3/25)2.78% (1/36)
Blocked Shots
1318
Goalkeeper Saves
3522
Saves PCT
97.22% (35/36)88% (22/25)
Penalties
43
PIM
86
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)66.67% (2/3)
Faceoffs Won
3829
Faceoffs %
56.7243.28
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 0)
  • 02:50, Korhonen O. (2 min),
  • 08:02, 1 - 0, Rautiainen B. (G), Halloran N. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
  • 09:42, Gallet H. (2 min),
  • 15:24, Caron T. (2 min),
  • 16:08, 2 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Brickley D. (A), Halloran N. (A2)
  • 19:36, 3 - 0, Kempe M. (G), Mattila J. (A), Rasanen A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 00:01, Sinclair M. , Saarinen K. ,
  • 02:15, Ravinskis A. (2 min),
  • 03:23, Rasanen A. (2 min),
  • 11:48, Sustr A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:49, Tuulola J. (2 min),
  • 06:01, 3 - 1, Korhonen O. (G), Ravinskis A. (A), Vesterinen R. (A2)

Chances of winning


Tappara
48.7%
Draw
23%
HPK
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 23.1% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 23.1% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Tappara - HPK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.83)
    4.07
    (4.01)
    3.3
    (3.55)
    6.3%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tappara won 4.
    • Recent matches Tappara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • HPK in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • HPK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Tappara will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tappara won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 66:41 (average 3.3:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tappara won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:18 (average 3.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - HPK were as follows:
    25.01.2025 HPK - Tappara 4:3
    07.12.2024 HPK - Tappara 2:3
    17.11.2024 Tappara - HPK 3:0
    12.03.2024 Tappara - HPK 3:1
    03.02.2024 HPK - Tappara 2:4
    Latest results of Tappara
    01.03.2025 TPS - Tappara 2:7
    28.02.2025 Tappara - TPS 2:5
    26.02.2025 Tappara - KooKoo 3:4
    22.02.2025 Tappara - Ässät 3:2
    21.02.2025 Ilves - Tappara 2:0
    Latest results of HPK
    01.03.2025 HPK - Vaasan Sport 3:2
    27.02.2025 Ilves - HPK 0:4
    22.02.2025 HPK - Kiekko-Espoo 5:4
    21.02.2025 HPK - JYP 3:0
    19.02.2025 SaiPa - HPK 3:5
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Liiga (Play Out: )