Result
1:3
05/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 3.08 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 2.94% (1/34) | 10.71% (3/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92.59% (25/27) | 97.06% (33/34) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 31 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.94 | 47.06 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 12:13, 0 - 1, Blichfeld J. (G), Brickley D. (A), Rasanen A. (A2)
- 13:36, 1 - 1, Kukkonen M. (G), Loponen M. (A), Kainulainen H. (A2)
- 19:32, Pavel O. (5 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 08:24, 1 - 2, Rautiainen B. (G), Piiparinen J. (A),
- 10:31, Aaltonen S. (2 min),
- 14:29, Tuulola J. (2 min),
- 16:39, Rauhala O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:22, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
- 19:12, 1 - 3, Rautiainen B. (G),
Chances of winning
HPK
26% | Draw
22.5% | Tappara
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HPK - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3.33) |
4.08 ↑
(3.95) |
1.82 ↓
(1.89) |
7.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 2.
- HPK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tappara is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tappara has had a series of home games.
- Tappara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 40:69. (average 2:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 2.1:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Tappara?
HPK has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against HPK?
Tappara has won 11 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Tappara were as follows:
04.10.2025
Tappara
-
HPK
2:4
04.09.2025
HPK
-
Tappara
2:3
04.03.2025
Tappara
-
HPK
3:1
25.01.2025
HPK
-
Tappara
4:3
07.12.2024
HPK
-
Tappara
2:3
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
